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The Russian Labour Market
Labour markets are a central element of any transition from planned economy to market-oriented system. This groundbreaking book examines the plight of Russian workers and employers during the first decade of post-Soviet reforms. The authors argue that higher-than-expected labour market flexibility early in the transition provided an important cushion for workers who would have been displaced with little recourse to social protection. However, over time, this flexibility reduced pressure for enterprise restructuring and accommodated policy drift. Although many workers were quite mobile, often this translated into a loss of human capital for older enterprises_even potentially viable ones_and t...
Botswana
Botswana is experiencing a significant slowdown from a diamond market contraction in 2023–24. Inflation has declined sharply since the peak of mid-2022 and returned to the central bank’s objective range, where it is expected to remain in the medium term. The authorities plan a fiscal expansion in FY2024 followed by two years of substantial adjustment to reach a fiscal surplus by FY2026. The external position should soften over the medium term, with FX reserves decreasing to 5 months of imports. The financial sector remains sound and stable despite the economic downturn.
Funeral Girl
Sixteen-year-old Georgia Richter feels conflicted about the funeral home her parents run—especially because she has the ability to summon ghosts. With one touch of any body that passes through Richter Funeral Home, she can awaken the spirit of the departed. With one more touch, she makes the spirit disappear, to a fate that remains mysterious to Georgia. To cope with her deep anxiety about death, she does her best to fulfill the final wishes of the deceased whose ghosts she briefly revives. Then her classmate Milo's body arrives at Richter—and his spirit wants help with unfinished business, forcing Georgia to reckon with her relationship to grief and mortality.
Namibia
Namibia has shown resilience to the negative shocks from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine. Output has recovered to the pre pandemic level, inflation has fallen below 6 percent, and expectations remain anchored. Official reserves, at 4.7 month of imports in September, exhibit adequacy consistent with the peg to the rand. Prospects are brightened with discovery of oil and gas reserves. At the same time, Namibia is poised to benefit from the global pivot to green energy through its signature Green Hydrogen Project. Meanwhile, the challenge of improving public sector efficiency and reducing the large wage bill, not only for the sake of preserving debt sustainability, but also for the Namibian people to benefit the most from these new developments, remains paramount. Elections are scheduled for 2024.
Botswana
Growth is expected to slow in 2023 due to a projected decline in diamond production, with the weaker global environment likely to depress other exports. Inflation has fallen since August 2022, returning to the central bank’s objective range. The authorities plan a fiscal expansion in FY2023 followed by two years of substantial fiscal adjustment to reach a small fiscal surplus by FY2025, but implementation risks are elevated. The external position should soften over the medium term, with FX reserves stabilizing at 51⁄2 months of imports. The financial sector is broadly sound and stable.
Kingdom of Eswatini
Growth reached 4.9 percent in 2023, driven by services, manufacturing, and high transfers from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The latter helped move the external current account to a surplus of 2.2 percent of GDP. Inflation averaged 4.9 percent in 2023 and moderated to 4.2 percent in July 2024. The fiscal deficit is estimated to have narrowed to 1.5 percent of GDP in FY23/24; however, domestic payment arrears persisted. Public debt is moderate, at 38.5 percent of GDP. Widening of the policy rate differential between the Central Bank of Eswatini and the South African Reserve Bank to 75 bps in July 2023 has encouraged capital outflows, and official reserves at end-2023 covered only about 2.2 months of imports.
The Development of Equity Capital Markets in Transition Economies
This book addresses two different but related topics that can arise during the development of equity capital markets and which could possibly hinder their development: partial privatisation and shareholder rights. Both issues are developed in the context of transition economies in general and Russia in particular. Chapter 2 puts forward a theory of partial privatisation, i. e. a model that aims to explain why the state keeps some residual shares. Several recent surveys for Russia have shown that the state does often not actively use the voting rights of its residual shares. If this was true, partial privati sation could entrench management and hinder restructuring. It would also limit the su...
Economic Report of the President Transmitted to the Congress
Reports for 1962- include: The annual report of the Council of Economic Advisers (title varies slightly).
Climate Challenges in Fragile and Conflict-Affected States
Fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS) already face higher temperatures than other countries and will be more exposed to extreme heat and weather events going forward. Using innovative approaches, the paper finds that in FCS, climate vulnerability and underlying fragilities—namely conflict, heavy dependence on rainfed agriculture, and weak capacity—exacerbate each other, amplifying the negative impact on people and economies. FCS suffer more severe and persistent GDP losses than other countries due to climate shocks because their underlying fragilities amplify the impact of shocks, in particular in agriculture. At the same time, climate shocks worsen underlying fragilities, namely conflict. Macro-critical adaptation policies are needed to facilitate the immediate response to climate shocks and to build climate resilience over time. Sizeable and sustained international support—especially grants, concessional financing and capacity development—is urgent to avoid worse outcomes, including forced displacement and migration. The IMF is stepping up support to FCS in dealing with climate challenges through carefully tailored policy advice, financing, and capacity development.
