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"This account of how a once reviled theory, Baye’s rule, came to underpin modern life is both approachable and engrossing" (Sunday Times). A New York Times Book Review Editors’ Choice Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the generations-long human drama surrounding it. McGrayne traces the rule’s discovery by an 18th ce...
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This book explores both non parametric and general statistical ideas by developing non parametric procedures in simple situations. The major goal is to give the reader a thorough intuitive understanding of the concepts underlying nonparametric procedures and a full appreciation of the properties and operating characteristics of those procedures covered. This book differs from most statistics books by including considerable philosophical and methodological discussion. Special attention is given to discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of various statistical methods and approaches. Difficulties that often arise in applying statistical theory to real data also receive substantial attention. The approach throughout is more conceptual than mathematical. The "Theorem-Proof" format is avoided; generally, properties are "shown," rather than "proved." In most cases the ideas behind the proof of an im portant result are discussed intuitively in the text and formal details are left as an exercise for the reader. We feel that the reader will learn more from working such things out than from checking step-by-step a complete presen tation of all details.
Das definitive Buch zur Anwendung der Bayes-Statistik auf wirtschaftliche Probleme in der Praxis, bei denen es um Entscheidungen mit unsicheren Randbedingungen geht! Der Aktionsplan als Ziel der Analyse soll sowohl den Prioritäten Rechnung tragen, die der Entscheidungsfinder bei den Folgen setzt, als auch unbekannte Faktoren in Form von Wahrscheinlichkeiten enthalten. - Jetzt als preiswerte Paperback-Ausgabe! (08/00)
In the Second Edition of Quantitative Investment Analysis, financial experts Richard DeFusco, Dennis McLeavey, Jerald Pinto, and David Runkle outline the tools and techniques needed to understand and apply quantitative methods to today's investment process. Now, in Quantitative Investment Analysis Workbook, Second Edition, they offer you a wealth of practical information and exercises that will further enhance your understanding of this discipline. This essential study guide--which parallels the main book chapter by chapter--contains challenging problems and a complete set of solutions as well as concise learning outcome statements and summary overviews. If you're looking to successfully navigate today's dynamic investment environment, the lessons found within these pages can show you how. Topics reviewed include: The time value of money Discounted cash flow Probability distributions Sampling and estimation Hypothesis testing Multiple regression Time-series analysis And much more