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This paper computes the default probabilities implicit in the prices of Brady bonds of seven developing countries and examines the factors that determine the high cross-correlation of the probability paths. The term structure of U.S. interest rates and the ratio of long-term foreign debt to GDP, together with a developing market index, explain more than 75 percent of the cross-sectional distribution of the default probabilities. The paper also demonstrates a new way to extract sovereign riskiness, implicit in traded bond prices. This allows the above results to be interpreted as explaining the cross-sectional distribution of sovereign riskiness as well.
"Macroeconomic variables and changes in foreign reserves affect the secondary market price of Brady bonds in Bulgaria. So do changes in the external environment, including crises in other parts of the world"--Cover.
Moorad continues to demonstrate his financial expertise, and shows us why he is one of the best-selling authors in our industry today. - Eric Subliskey, Vice President, Short-Term Fixed Income JPMorgan Securities inc., New York An invaluable reference work for anyone connected with the corporate debt markets, be they issuer, investor or trader. Dr Choudhry writes in his trademark accessible style and provides the reader with a wealth of data and insight on the latest market products and techniques. Highly-recommended. - Ketul Tanna, Assistant Vice President, Market Risk Management JPMorgan Chase Bank, London The Predominant fixed income author is back with this updated version of Corporate Bond Markets. A Comprehensive work on fixed income products and applications, this book is a valuable reference text and teaching tool. Why go anywhere else for bond market information? - Rod Pienaar, Research Partner YieldCurve.com
An investor's guide to capitalizing on opportunities in the fixed income markets of emerging economies The fixed income market in emerging countries represents a new and potentially lucrative area of investment for professionals, but with great risk. Investing in Emerging Fixed Income Markets shows investors how to identify solid investment opportunities, assess the risk potential, and develop an investment approach to enhance long-term returns. Contributors to this book, among the leading experts from around the world, share their insights, advice, and knowledge on a range of topics that will help investors make the right decisions and choices when dealing with emerging fixed income markets...
Written for managers and professionals in business and industry, and using a minimum of mathematical language, The Management of Bond Investments and the Trading of Debt addresses three key issues: - Bondholder's options, risks and rewards in making investments in debt instruments; - The dynamics of inflation, and how they affect both trading in the bond market, and investment decisions; and - The democratization of lending, socialization of risk, and effect of the global economy on the bond market.Financial expert Dimitris Chorafas discusses these issues in straightforward language for managers and professionals in commercial banks, securities houses, financial services companies, merchandi...
Brady bonds offer substantially higher returns than Eurobonds. This paper examines the Brady and Eurobond markets for developing country debt and finds that the apparent arbitrage opportunity is not only smaller than it at first appears, but is infeasible given the illiquidity of the Eurobond market. The maturity adjusted return differential between Brady and Eurobonds is smaller than the commonly cited yield spreads. Moreover, the transactions costs of executing a Eurobond short contract render arbitrage a loss-making proposition. Given the many crossover investors who are active in both the Brady and Euro markets, why do Eurobond investors not trade them actively?
A fully revised guide to fixed income securities that reflects current market conditions The Second Edition of Bond Evaluation, Selection, and Management combines fundamental and advanced topics in the field, offering comprehensive coverage of bond and debt management. This fully updated and revised edition provides you with the basics needed to understand various strategies, and explanations of cutting edge advanced topics. Focusing on essential concepts, models, and numerical examples, this book will help you quickly become familiar with the tools needed to effectively select, evaluate, and manage bonds. Covers both the fundamental and advanced topics in the field, including debt securitie...
This book describes how international development works, its shortcomings, its theoretical and practical foundations, along with prescriptions for the future. International Development Law provides the reader with new perspectives on the origins of global poverty, identifies legal impediments to sustainable economic growth, and provides a better understanding of the challenges faced by the international community in resolving global poverty issues. The text is structured into two basic parts: the first part deals with the theoretical and philosophic foundations of the subject, and the second part sets forth issues relating to the international financial architecture, namely, international bo...