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Carlos Medeiros
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Insomnia
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Brazilian Music for Piano: Part 1 - The Choro
This book, the first in a series on a variety of Brazilian musical styles, is completely dedicated to the choro. It contains 12 piano pieces, including 6 original compositions by the authors and 6 arrangements of choros written by some of the greatest Brazilian composers like Patápio Silva, Joaquim Callado, Anacleto de Medeiros and Sátiro Bilhar.
Our Family Tree Including the Borba, Carlos, DeMello, and Medeiros Branches
Joao Carlos Medeiros was born ca. 1850-1853 in the Azores. He married Rosa da Conceicao in the Azores and they immigrated in 1882 to Hawaii with 5 children. After Rosa's death, Joao married Mary Louisa about 1885 and had 7 more children. The family eventually moved to California.
Cyclical Fluctuations in Brazil's Real Exchange Rate
This paper examines the effects of capital inflows and domestic factors on Brazil’s real exchange rate. It describes the analytical framework, and then estimates a near-VAR model linking capital flows, interest rate differentials, government spending, money-base velocity, and the temporary component of the real exchange rate (TCRER). Generalized variance decompositions indicate that world interest rate shocks largely explain medium-term fluctuations in capital flows and the TCRER. Generalized impulse response functions show that a reduction in the world interest rate (and, to a lesser extent, an increase in government spending) have significant effects on the TCRER and capital flows.
On the Estimation of Term Structure Models and An Application to the United States
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with pre-crisis data. This paper uses a software developed by Fund staff for this purpose. This software makes it possible to estimate the term structure using at least nine models, while opening up the possibility of generating simulated paths of the term structure.
An Assessment of Estimates of Term Structure Models for the United States
The paper assesses estimates of term structure models for the United States. To this end, this paper first describes the mathematics underlying two types of term structure models, namely the Nelson-Siegel and Cox, Ingersoll and Ross family of models, and the estimation techniques. It then presents estimations of some of specific models within these families of models?three-factor Nelson-Siegel Model, four-factor Svensson model, and preference-free, two-factor Cox, Ingersoll and Roll model?for the United States from 1972 to mid 2011. It subsequently provides an assessment of the estimations. It concludes that these estimations of the term structure models successfully capture the dynamics of the term structure in the United States.
Year Zero Christmas One
The book satisfies some curiosities about our calendar and some events that marked the beginning of year counting. Does our calendar, known as the Gregorian calendar, have a year zero? In December of year zero, how old was Christ? And had Herod already died before year zero, as some historians claim? How can we prove that our calendar is correct? The book confirms the validity of the current calendar based on an unprecedented chronological research conducted in 2016 when it was possible to demonstrate synchronicity with 6 other events, including 1 annual, 2 specific, and 3 millennial ones: astronomical in March, historical in 70 AD, biblical in 2 BC, Christian holidays in June and December, ...
A Primer on Sovereign Debt Buybacks and Swaps
This paper sets forth some basic principles that could help debt managers in emerging market and other countries to plan and implement sovereign debt buyback and swap operations. It discusses the macroeconomic context in which buybacks and swaps are undertaken, the objectives of buybacks and swaps, the analytical framework for deciding whether to undertake a particular buyback or swap operation and for selecting among alternative operations, and some key issues in the determination of the strategy for executing buybacks and swaps. The focus is on developing the analytical framework for evaluating sovereign debt buyback and swap operations, since very little work has been done in this area. In this regard, the paper presents a step-wise decision-making procedure, in which discounted cash flow analysis and the use of strategic benchmarks for the debt play central roles.
Puppet
A Chicana graduate student learns of a cover-up of the police shooting a young Chicano laborer named Puppet. Both a mystery and a call-to-action novel, Puppet is an underground classic. This is a bilingual edition - Spanish and English.
