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The Volatility Curse
Economic voting is common around the world, but in many developing countries economic performance is dependent on exogenous international factors.
Partisans, Anti-Partisans and Non-Partisans
The book demonstrates the underappreciated extent and political importance of both positive and negative mass partisan attitudes in Brazil.
Cash-Transfers and Voting Behavior
The 2006 presidential elections in Brazil witnessed a dramatic shift on Lula's voting base away from the more developed regions of the country and into its poorest areas. This paper examines the extent to which this shift can be explained by the government's massive cash transfer program called emph{Bolsa Familia}, through a combination of inference on aggregate data, application of ecological inference techniques to aggregate data, analysis of survey data, and the estimation of simultaneous equation models that attempt to separate the effects of the program and those of improved economic performance. We examine the merits of alternative research designs and show that individual level effects are compatible with results from aggregate analysis, which indicate that even after controlling for economic conditions, the program has significant electoral effects. (For an updated version, see: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1753234).
Limits of Democracy
In this timely book, Brazilian political philosopher Marcos Nobre analyzes the social and political roots of the election of Jair Bolsonaro to the presidency of Brazil and shows how this process is connected to the rise of new far-right movements threatening democracy around the world. Nobre describes the rise of the movement that elected Bolsonaro as a reactionary and anti-democratic highjack of the democratic impulse unleashed by the June 2013 uprisings, when millions of Brazilians took to the streets to protest against a dysfunctional political system, and frames the Brazilian case within the global crisis that exposed the limits of a democracy based on the neoliberal consensus after the ...
Why Bother?
Using surveys, experiments, and fieldwork from several countries, this book tests a new theory of participation in elections and protests.
Campaigns and Voters in Developing Democracies
The 2015 Argentine election shows how voting decisions vary across developing democracies
Persuasive Peers
"A typical presidential election campaign in Latin America sees between one-third and one-half of all voters changing their vote intentions across party lines in the months before election day-numbers unheard of and rarely seen in older democracies. This book proposes a new theory of Latin American voting behavior, examining how votes are truly up for grabs in democracies where political parties and mass partisanship are not deeply entrenched. The book argues that political discussion among peers causes volatility, and ulimately explains final vote choices. Describing and examining social networks of political discussion, the authors propose that everyday social communication is the hidden a...
Life after Dictatorship
Launches a new research agenda on one of the most common but overlooked features of the democratization experience worldwide: authoritarian successor parties.
