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Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis concerns itself with the quantification of risk, the modeling of identified risks and how to make decisions from those models. Quantitative risk analysis (QRA) using Monte Carlo simulation offers a powerful and precise method for dealing with the uncertainty and variability of a problem. By providing the building blocks the author guides the reader through the necessary steps to produce an accurate risk analysis model and offers general and specific techniques to cope with most modeling problems. A wide range of solved problems is used to illustrate these techniques and how they can be used together to solve otherwise complex problems.
Quantitative Risk Analysis
This book concentrates on the accuracy of risk modelling rather than the management of risk analysis. It provides a comprehensive guide to modelling of uncertainty using spreadsheets and Monte Carlo software on standard PCs. It includes sufficient probability and statistics theory and provides the basic information necessary for a simple risk analysis model.
To Live Like a Moor
To Live Like a Moor traces the many shifts in Christian perceptions of Islam-associated ways of life which took place across the centuries between early Reconquista efforts of the eleventh century and the final expulsions of Spain's converted yet poorly assimilated Morisco population in the seventeenth.
The Reading Drummer
(Berklee Guide). If you want to take your drumming chops to the next level, you must know how to read drum music. Written by Professor Dave Vose, this Berklee Workshop is ideal for both beginners and pros and includes everything you'll need to make sightreading drum notation easy and natural. Features: more than 50 lessons complete with general practice tips; steady learning progression from reading quarter notes to 16th-note triplets; practice rhythms containing accents, flams, rolls, ruffs, tempo and meter changes; and much more.
Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation Management Options
Forest land managers face the challenges of preparing their forests for the impacts of climate change. However, climate change adds a new dimension to the task of developing and testing science-based management options to deal with the effects of stressors on forest ecosystems in the southern United States. The large spatial scale and complex interactions make traditional experimental approaches difficult. Yet, the current progression of climate change science offers new insights from recent syntheses, models, and experiments, providing enough information to start planning now for a future that will likely include an increase in disturbances and rapid changes in forest conditions. Climate Ch...
Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling for Management
This book offers a one-stop resource for performing quantitative risk analyses. The authors provide practical case studies along with detailed instruction and illustration of the features of ModelRisk, the most advanced risk modeling spreadsheet software currently available. The specific examples in the text demonstrate a number of cutting-edge tools and techniques that are very powerful in risk analysis but that are not available in other spreadsheet simulation programs. The book covers modeling complex correlations, aggregating uncertainty and variability, and estimating parameter and model uncertainty. The included CD-ROM provides a 120-day trial of ModelRisk.
The Failure of Risk Management
A practical guide to adopting an accurate risk analysis methodology The Failure of Risk Management provides effective solutionstosignificantfaults in current risk analysis methods. Conventional approaches to managing risk lack accurate quantitative analysis methods, yielding strategies that can actually make things worse. Many widely used methods have no systems to measure performance, resulting in inaccurate selection and ineffective application of risk management strategies. These fundamental flaws propagate unrealistic perceptions of risk in business, government, and the general public. This book provides expert examination of essential areas of risk management, including risk assessment ...
Rather Elegant Than Showy
Isaac Vose was well known in his day among style-conscious Bostonians, his name synonymous with furniture of the highest quality and advanced design. His shop, the "first on Boston Neck," was in a prominent location and served as a familiar landmark in his South End neighborhood. Throughout the 1820s, 1830s, and as late as 1843, some nineteen years after Vose's death, auction advertisements explicitly cited his name as the maker of select furniture, with the association connoting quality and calculated to increase its sale price. This book gathers in one volume the known works of Vose as well as those attributed to him, and it is gorgeously illustrated throughout. The authors hope that Isaac Vose's work will gain recognition for its outstanding contributions to an American vision of classicism, albeit in Boston's more conservative, less "dashy" style.
