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The use of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for estimating hierarchical models involves complex data structures and is often described as a revolutionary development. An intermediate-level treatment of Bayesian hierarchical models and their applications, Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods demonstrates the advantages of a Bayesian approach
This volume guides the reader along a statistical journey that begins with the basic structure of Bayesian theory, and then provides details on most of the past and present advances in this field.
Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly ...
The dwarves have gone! Thousands have been slaughtered in the blood-drenched streets of their ravine city by a demonic axe in the hands of one of their own. The survivors have fled beyond the mountains, heading into a realm haunted by the nightmares of a twisted god. When Nils Fargin, son of an underworld boss, is hired to find them, he travels with his client to seek the advice of a lowlife mage. With what he learns, he should have asked for more money. The trail leads them to the domain of the terrifying Ant-Man, who is rumored to eat the flesh of anyone refusing to pay his toll. And as if that wasn't enough, it turns out Nils's client is none other than the Nameless Dwarf, better known to...
"This second volume is structured into three parts. The first four chapters focus on issues in folk epistemology; Part II explores a range of experimental topics in moral and political philosophy; and the final part, 'Metaphysics and mind', contains chapters that examine such topics as personal identity and robot minds."-- back cover.
This book reviews nonparametric Bayesian methods and models that have proven useful in the context of data analysis. Rather than providing an encyclopedic review of probability models, the book’s structure follows a data analysis perspective. As such, the chapters are organized by traditional data analysis problems. In selecting specific nonparametric models, simpler and more traditional models are favored over specialized ones. The discussed methods are illustrated with a wealth of examples, including applications ranging from stylized examples to case studies from recent literature. The book also includes an extensive discussion of computational methods and details on their implementation. R code for many examples is included in online software pages.
Safety-related computer systems are those which may lead to loss of life, injury or plant and environmental damage. Such systems therefore have to be developed and implemented so that they meet strict require and security because their applications cover ments on safety, reliability nearly all areas of daily life and range from controlling and monitoring industrial processes, through robotics and power generation, to transport systems. Highly reliable electronic systems for safety-related applications represent an area in which industry has been involved for many years and which is now gaining increasing importance in academia. Their relevance also results from an increased perception of saf...
"Tom Bielawski is a bright light in today's dark sea of new writers. His writing gives me hope for the next generation of dreamers. I highly recommend both him and his works." -NYT Bestselling author, Tracy Hickman. When Zach turned his back on Carym, even as his lifelong friend contended with the haunted lands of the Black Baron, he had had his doubts about the wisdom of his choice. But a chance encounter with a patrol of the corrupt peacekeepers of Powyss, the Red Dragons, showed Zach a sample of the powers of his new dagger, and all thoughts of his friends were forgotten. The lure of the seedy and dark underworld of Powyss was irresistible. Gambling, thievery, murder, were all ways that Z...
After being marooned in the vast and mysterious underworld known as the Underllars, Carym and Zach must try to find a way back to the surface and continue their quest for the Everpool. But Zach's new secret, and his growing paranoia, casts the shadow of suspicion upon him by all of the companions. His life-long friendship with Carym is in danger, as is their quest to find the Everpool, even as the hunters of the Dark Lord close in.