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This book presents a selection of papers presented to the Second Inter national Symposium on Semi-Markov Models: Theory and Applications held in Compiegne (France) in December 1998. This international meeting had the same aim as the first one held in Brussels in 1984 : to make, fourteen years later, the state of the art in the field of semi-Markov processes and their applications, bring together researchers in this field and also to stimulate fruitful discussions. The set of the subjects of the papers presented in Compiegne has a lot of similarities with the preceding Symposium; this shows that the main fields of semi-Markov processes are now well established particularly for basic applicati...
First issued in translation as a two-volume work in 1975, this classic book provides the first complete development of the theory of probability from a subjectivist viewpoint. It proceeds from a detailed discussion of the philosophical mathematical aspects to a detailed mathematical treatment of probability and statistics. De Finetti's theory of probability is one of the foundations of Bayesian theory. De Finetti stated that probability is nothing but a subjective analysis of the likelihood that something will happen and that that probability does not exist outside the mind. It is the rate at which a person is willing to bet on something happening. This view is directly opposed to the classicist/ frequentist view of the likelihood of a particular outcome of an event, which assumes that the same event could be identically repeated many times over, and the 'probability' of a particular outcome has to do with the fraction of the time that outcome results from the repeated trials.
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The fundamental role of Great Britain's economy in the international economic system in the century preceding the First World War is demonstrated by a number of variables, which have drawn the interest of many scholars. The focus here is on capital flows. The main difficulty encountered in this work arose from a shortage of documentation on economic data in the historical period under consideration, which has been tentatively reconstructed, on the basis of a number of estimates, subjected to a close comparative scrutiny. The book provides a valid guide to anyone wishing to improve their understanding of the so-called "pax britannica" which, at that time, rested on the canons of free trade and the gold standard. This historical period is considered by many to be the first experience of capitalist globalization. In this sense the book is also intended to provide useful reading for those who want to reflect on the possible future evolution of the world economy.
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Wenn ein Erbe dunkle Geheimnisse ans Licht bringt. Alles beginnt mit einem Ende - mit dem Tod der hochbetagten Enrietta da Silva, einer weltweit geschätzten und wohlhabenden Autorin aus Buenos Aires. Kurz darauf sitzen in Zürich zwei Menschen vor Enriettas Testamentsvollstrecker: Emilio, ein konservativer Arzt aus Argentinien, und Jana, eine unkonventionelle Schauspielerin aus Salzburg und Ziehtochter der Verstorbenen. Überraschend kommen sich Emilio und Jana näher. Bis plötzlich Armando da Silva in Zürich auftaucht, Enriettas leiblicher Sohn - ein ungeliebtes, von ihr totgeschwiegenes Kind mit einer zwielichtigen Biografie. Er sei gekommen, um sein Erbe zu beanspruchen, sagt er, doch es geht ihm um sehr viel mehr. Denn Enriettas Vermächtnis birgt ein dunkles Geheimnis ...
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