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Statistical Thinking in Sports
Since the first athletic events found a fan base, sports and statistics have always maintained a tight and at times mythical relationship. As a way to relay the telling of a game's drama and attest to the prodigious powers of the heroes involved, those reporting on the games tallied up the numbers that they believe best described the action and best defined the winning edge. However, they may not have always counted the right numbers. Many of our hallowed beliefs about sports statistics have long been fraught with misnomers. Whether it concerns Scottish football or American baseball, the most revered statistics often have little to do with any winning edge. Covering an international collecti...
Analyzing Wimbledon
In tennis, is it true that beginning to serve in a set gives an advantage? Can the outcome of a match be predicted? Which points are important, and do real champions win the big points? Do players serve optimally? Does "winning mood" exist? The book answers such questions, demonstrating the power and beauty of statistical reasoning.
Analyzing Wimbledon
In tennis, is it true that beginning to serve in a set gives an advantage? Can the outcome of a match be predicted? Which points are important, and do real champions win the big points? Do players serve optimally? Does "winning mood" exist? The book answers such questions, demonstrating the power and beauty of statistical reasoning.
International Finance
This book is the CORE TEXT for Quantitative Methods for Business Management Course Convenors: Lee Fawcett and Daniel Henderson
International Capital Flow Pressures
This paper presents a new measure of capital flow pressures in the form of a recast Exchange Market Pressure index. The measure captures pressures that materialize in actual international capital flows as well as pressures that result in exchange rate adjustments. The formulation is theory-based, relying on balance of payments equilibrium conditions and international asset portfolio considerations. Based on the modified exchange market pressure index, the paper also proposes the Global Risk Response Index, which reflects the country-specific sensitivity of capital flow pressures to measures of global risk aversion. For a large sample of countries over time, we demonstrate time variation in the effects of global risk on exchange market pressures, the evolving importance of the global factor across types of countries, and the changing risk-on or risk-off status of currencies.
Globalization, Financial Markets, and Fiscal Policy
This paper examines how fiscal policy can contribute to realizing the benefits of two important ongoing developments, globalization and financial deepening.
Advances in Markov-Switching Models
This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubble...
