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Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects.
Future energy infrastructure requires efficient and flexible residential energy systems. Model predictive control (MPC) enables optimized behavior by considering energy predictions. This study focuses on minimizing cost and uncertainties using MPC in electric- thermal systems. In addition a hierarchical control approach is proposed and evaluated through simulation in a new software framework called OptFlex and a laboratory experiment. The control system combines electricity and heat components for flexible and efficient energy production and consumption. It enables cost-effective and CO2 minimal utilization and a simple solution of accounting for the differences between forecasted and measured values of the energy components. The MPC is validated in a laboratory test for a PV-CHP system. Results show reliable control with a deviation of approximately 12%. The study also investigates a variable combined control variant to save computation time but incurs higher operating costs. The developed hierarchical control system effectively flexibilities, addresses uncertainties and can be applied to different energy systems including heat pumps.
Microgrids are the most innovative area in the electric power industry today. Future microgrids could exist as energy-balanced cells within existing power distribution grids or stand-alone power networks within small communities. A definitive presentation on all aspects of microgrids, this text examines the operation of microgrids – their control concepts and advanced architectures including multi-microgrids. It takes a logical approach to overview the purpose and the technical aspects of microgrids, discussing the social, economic and environmental benefits to power system operation. The book also presents microgrid design and control issues, including protection and explaining how to imp...
This book features selected papers from the 36th National Convention of Electrical Engineers and Conference on “Future Electricity Systems: Challenges and Current Trends” (NCEFES-2021) held in hybrid mode by Institution of Engineers Jodhpur Local Centre, Jodhpur, India, during 27-28 November, 2021. The book features original papers presented by graduate students, research scholars, academicians, and industry persons during this conference. The topics covered in the book include recent advances in Distributed generation and Power quality, Optimization techniques, Renewable energy/Alternative energy, Reliability of distributed energy systems, Smart microgrid, Advanced monitoring & novel co...
Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on...
In der vorliegenden Arbeit wurde ein Windparkprognosemodell auf Basis Künstlicher Neuronaler Netze und Generalisierter Linearer Modelle entwickelt. Die beachtliche Güte des Modells konnte in einem internationalen Prognosewettbewerb bestätigt werden, in welchem die erzeugten Prognosen den geringsten Fehler im Vergleich zu elf weiteren Modellen aus Europa, Japan, Indien, USA und Australien aufwiesen. Das Modell wurde in dieser Arbeit eingesetzt, um mehr als 5000 Prognosen unterschiedlich großer Windparks und Windparkportfolios auf Basis 20 verschiedener Wetterprognosen für Zeithorizonte von 1 bis 48 Stunden zu berechnen. Die Güte der Prognosen wurde hinsichtlich räumlicher und zeitlicher Abhängigkeiten ausgewertet, um verschiedene offene Fragestellungen im Forschungsbereich der Windleistungsprognose verlässlich beantworten zu können. Dies betrifft beispielsweise die Integration von aktuellen Messwerten zur Verbesserung der Kürzestfristprognose, die Abhängigkeit der mittleren und maximalen Fehler vom Aggregationslevel, Zeithorizont und Wettermodell, die regionalen Unterschiede in der Vorhersagbarkeit verschiedener Wettermodelle sowie die Kombination von Wettermodellen.
This Special Issue presents extended versions of selected top papers of the Mediterranean Conference on Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution and Energy Conversion (MEDPOWER), held in Dubrovnik in 2018. The 11th Mediterranean Conference on Power Generation, Transmission, Distribution and Energy Conversion (MEDPOWER 2018) was held in Cavtat, Dubrobnik, Croatia, from 12 to 15 November 2018. The conference gathered more than 200 scientists, researchers, and experts from all around the world. A total of 147 oral presentations were held during the conference, with an additional 50 papers presented in special sessions. The top 10 papers have been selected for this Special Issue in Energies, covering a variety of topics from end-user challenges, distribution and transmission network operation and planning, to generation planning and modeling.
Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, Five Volume Set presents a currency-based, global synthesis cataloguing the impact of humanity’s global ecological footprint. Covering a multitude of aspects related to Climate Change, Biodiversity, Contaminants, Geological, Energy and Ethics, leading scientists provide foundational essays that enable researchers to define and scrutinize information, ideas, relationships, meanings and ideas within the Anthropocene concept. Questions widely debated among scientists, humanists, conservationists, politicians and others are included, providing discussion on when the Anthropocene began, what to call it, whether it should be considered an official geological epo...
The conference will be held in Guangzhou, China during June 29-30, 2014. The aim objective of ichss2014 is to present the latest research and results of scientists related to Humanity and Social Science topics. This conference provides opportunities for the different areas delegates to exchange new ideas and application experiences face to face, to establish business or research relations and to find global partners for future collaboration. We hope that the conference results constituted significant contribution to the knowledge in these up to date scientific field. ichss2014 is supposed to be the largest technical event on Humanity and Social Science in Guangzhou in 2014. The focus of the ...