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Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain ...
In the midst of allegations about his personal life, and angry denunciations of American politicians after US Embassy Cable releases, Julian Assange began writing the story of his life. This book describes not only the work of WikiLeaks, but the moral and political development of its founder, from his childhood in Australia to the present day.
An unforgettable coming-of-age novel that becomes a profound mediation on life, death, and lifelong friendship. Everyone has a Tully Dawson: the friend who defines your life. In the summer of 1986, in a small Scottish town, James and Tully ignite a brilliant friendship based on music, films and the rebel spirit. With school over and the locked world of their fathers before them, they rush towards the climax of their youth: a magical weekend in Manchester, the epicentre of everything that inspires them in working-class Britain. There, against the greatest soundtrack ever recorded, a vow is made: to go at life differently. Thirty years on, half a life away, the phone rings. Tully has news--news that forces the life-long friends to confront their own mortality head-on. What follows is an incredibly moving examination of the responsibilities and obligations we have to those we love. Mayflies is at once a finely-tuned drama about the delicacy and impermanence of human connection and an urgent inquiry into some of the most important questions of all: Who are we? What do we owe to our friends? And what does it mean to love another person amidst tragedy?
'A glorious photographic compendium of styles and street cultures from a bygone era'. -- The Guardian 'An artist's image and music is inextricably tethered and A Scene In Between draws these threads together beautifully'. -- Vice Magazine 'A visual manifestation of Knee's personal obsession and acute knowledge of the scene - in particular, the underground style - whilst mirroring the general mood of the era'. -- Dazed Magazine A revised edition of this cult classic photographic exploration of 1980s music and fashion. A Scene In Between sets out to excavate the sartorial treasures of the UK's 1980s guitar scenes. Using original archive photography from scenesters, band members and amateur pho...
'Entertaining, shocking, uproarious, hilarious . . . like eavesdropping on a wake, as the mourners get gradually more drunk and tell ever more outrageous stories' Sunday Times This is the definitive history of London's most notorious drinking den, the Colony Room Club in Soho. It’s a hair-raising romp through the underbelly of the post-war scene: during its sixty-year history, more romances, more deaths, more horrors and more sex scandals took place in the Colony than anywhere else. Tales from the Colony Room is an oral biography, consisting of previously unpublished and long-lost interviews with the characters who were central to the scene, giving the reader a flavour of what it was like ...
"Previously published as The decameron project."
This book could only have been written by a social worker. It is full of energy, laced with pathos and humour, and the warts are not only visible but highlighted. It offers a thoughtful, down-to-earth view of crisis work in one social services team.' - Paul Reading, Oxford MIND
The Economy of Ireland (14th edition) takes a holistic examination of the Irish Economy in light of events including the Celtic Tiger boom, recession, recovery and a global pandemic. The textbook considers the evolution of the Irish economy over time; the policy priorities for a small regional economy in the eurozone; the role of the state in policy making; taxation and regulatory policy; and the challenge of sustainable development. This provides a framework for analysing policy issues at a national level, including the Irish labour market and migration, inequality and poverty, and the care economy. The book then considers issues at a sectoral level, from agriculture and trade to the education and health sectors. Packed with the latest available data, contemporary examples and analysis of topical issues, this is an ideal text for students studying modules on Irish Economics.
Brings together the best tested and proven stereoselective synthetic methods Both the chemical and pharmaceutical industries are increasingly dependent on stereoselective synthetic methods and strategies for the generation of new chiral drugs and natural products that offer specific 3-D structures. With the publication of Stereoselective Synthesis of Drugs and Natural Products, researchers can turn to this comprehensive two-volume work to guide them through all the core methods for the synthesis of chiral drugs and natural products. Stereoselective Synthesis of Drugs and Natural Products features contributions from an international team of synthetic chemists and pharmaceutical and natural pr...
'Sarah doesn't just sit at the table - she stands on it. She's full of inspiring advice about how to bounce back from failures, speak your truth, embrace your quirks, and have a lot more fun along the way.' Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook COO and Founder of Leanin.org As a child, Sarah Robb O'Hagan felt destined to become a champion, but her early efforts at sport, music and theatre failed to reveal a natural superstar. Unwilling to settle for average, she learned through a series of dramatic successes and epic failures to follow her own path to success. Sarah climbed the corporate ladder at Virgin Atlantic, Nike, Gatorade and Equinox - also becoming a wife, mother and endurance athlete - and thou...