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The IMF has had extensive involvement in the stress testing of financial systems in its member countries. This book presents the methods and models that have been developed by IMF staff over the years and that can be applied to the gamut of financial systems. An added resource for readers is the companion CD-Rom, which makes available the toolkit with some of the models presented in the book (also located at elibrary.imf.org/page/stress-test-toolkit).
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FINANCIAL ENGINEERING Financial engineering is poised for a great shift in the years ahead. Everyone from investors and borrowers to regulators and legislators will need to determine what works, what doesn't, and where to go from here. Financial Engineering part of the Robert W. Kolb Series in Finance has been designed to help you do just this. Comprised of contributed chapters by distinguished experts from industry and academia, this reliable resource will help you focus on established activities in the field, developing trends and changes, as well as areas of opportunity. Divided into five comprehensive parts, Financial Engineering begins with an informative overview of the discipline, chr...
Asia’s financial systems proved resilient to the shocks from the global financial crisis, and growth since then has been strong. But new challenges have emerged in the region’s economies, including demographics and aging, the need to diversify from bank-dominated systems, urbanization and infrastructure, and the rebalancing of economic activity. This book takes stock of the challenges facing the region today and how economic systems in Asia’s advanced and emerging market economies compare with the rest of the world.
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Central banks have become part of our modern life. Understanding their operations and policies is important, even to a layperson. At the core of their mission is financial stability. The stress test is one of the tools that Central Banks (or monetary authorities) use to assess how sound commercial banks are within their jurisdictions at any point in time. Bank stress testing is designed to test the resilience of banks to severe but plausible shocks. These scenarios are conceived around a fall of asset prices, a shock to interest rates, a reassessment of risk premiums or a large depreciation to correct an external imbalance. Nonetheless, passing a stress test does not provide a blind assurance that a financial institution is safe and outside the reach of collapse. This book aims to educate on the risks tested and the methods often used in stress testing. It is the first book in its field to make a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis of stress testing, including climate risk.
The global financial crisis has renewed policymakers' interest in improving the policy framework for financial stability, and an open question is to what extent and in what form should financial stability reports be part of it. We examine the recent experience with central banks' financial stability reports, and find?despite some progress in recent years?that forward-looking perspective and analysis of financial interconnectedness are often lacking. We also find that higher-quality reports tend to be associated with more stable financial environments. However, there is only a weak empirical link between financial stability report publication per se and financial stability. This suggests room for improvement in terms of the quality of financial stability reports.
The latest research on measuring, managing and pricing financial risk. Three broad perspectives are considered: financial risk in non-financial corporations; in financial intermediaries such as banks; and finally within the context of a portfolio of securities of different credit quality and marketability.
This paper explains the treatment of sovereign risk in macroprudential solvency stress testing, based on the experiences in the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP). We discuss four essential steps in assessing the system-wide impact of sovereign risk: scope, loss estimation, shock calibration, and capital impact calculation. Most importantly, a market-consistent valuation approach lies at the heart of assessing the resilience of the financial sector in a tail risk scenario with sovereign distress. We present a flexible, closed-form approach to calibrating haircuts based on changes in expected sovereign defaults affecting bank solvency during adverse macroeconomic conditions. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of using extreme value theory (EVT) in this context, with empirical examples from past FSAPs.