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This top-selling book presents, in a straightforward, application-driven manner, the basic statistical techniques necessary for preparing individual business forecasts and long-range plans. The emphasis is on the application of techniques by management for decision-making. This essential book provides understandable coverage of several important topics, often omitted from other books, including econometrics; autocorrelation analysis and the use of Box-Jenkins techniques; judgmental forecasting techniques; and the means of selecting the correct forecasting technique and analyzing data. The book also reviews statistical concepts prior to introducing material that requires an understanding of those concepts. The sixth edition of Business Forecasting has been revised to include instructions on using Excel spreadsheets and the statistical package MINITAB in forecasting. An essential reference for every professional in a business of any size, from large corporations to small family-run firms.
This introduction provides a clear framework for understanding and analyzing securities, and covers the major institutional features and theories of investing. While the book presents a thorough discussion of investments, the authors keep the material practical, relevant, and easy to understand. The latest developments in investments are brought to life through the use of tables, graphs, and illustrations that incorporate current market information and academic research. An international content deals directly with international securities and securities markets throughout the book--along with currency management and interest rate parity. Up-to-date "Money Matters" articles reflect the latest real-world developments and are provided throughout each chapter to give readers a sense of how practitioners deal with various investment issues and use techniques. Other coverage includes an array of investment tools--presented through discussions on stocks, bonds, and other securities such as options and futures. A guide to reviewing, forecasting, and monitoring--for individuals preparing to make investments or take the CFA exam.
La manera más efectiva e interesante de aprender economía es haciéndola y es necesario conocer las bases de la economía para poder aplicarla inteligentemente. De acuerdo con esto, un texto de introducción al tema debería, a mi juicio, proporcionar a los estudiantes la teoría fundamental necesaria para hacer tres cosas: comprender las cuestiones de política pública, evaluar las opiniones contradictorias y llegar a conclusiones documentadas.Este libro trata de alcanzar estos objetivos de distintas formas. Aunque no se encuentra en otros textos, éste abunda en artículos recientes, ejemplos del mundo real, asuntos corrientes, estudio de casos y problemas prácticos. Lo más importante es que estas características se han conseguido sin sacrificar la teoría básica.
Non-recursive models as discrete approximations to systems of stochastic differential equations; Some discrete approximations to continuous time stochastic models; Econometric estimation of stochastic differential equation systems; The structural estimation of a stochastic differnetial equation system; The problem of identification in finite parameter continuous time models; The estimation of linear stochastic differnetial equations with exogenous variables; Some computations based on observed data series of the exogenous variable component in continuous systems; Fourier estimation of continuous time models; A model of disequilibrium neoclassical growth and its applications to the United Kingdom.