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Fiscal Policy Rules
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 58

Fiscal Policy Rules

What are fiscal policy rules? What are the principal benefits and drawbacks associated with various fiscal rules, particularly compared with alternative approaches to fiscal adjustment? Can fiscal rules contribute to long-run sustainability and welfare without sacrificing short-run stabilization? If so, what characteristics of fiscal rules make this contribution most effective? And in what circumstances and contexts, if any should the IMF encourage its member countries to adopt fiscal rules? This paper seeks to identify sensible fiscal policy rules that can succeed, if chosen by a member country, as an alternative to descretionary fiscal rules.

Transparency in Government Operations
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 50

Transparency in Government Operations

Transparency in government operations is widely regarded as an important precondition for macroeconomic fiscal sustainability, good governance, and overall fiscal rectitude. Notably, the Interim Committee, at its April and September 1996 meetings, stressed the need for greater fiscal transparency. Prompted by these concerns, this paper represents a first attempt to address many of the aspects of transparency in government operations. It provides an overview of major issues in fiscal transparency and examines the IMF's role in promoting transparency in government operations.

Fiscal Reform in European Economies in Transition
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 42

Fiscal Reform in European Economies in Transition

Most European economies in transition are engaged in public sector reform aimed mainly at replacing the previous fiscal system subordinated to the central plan with a system where fiscal instruments can make a distinct contribution to stabilization, equity, and efficiency. This paper examines past progress and future tasks in major reform areas: taxation, subsidies, social security, public investment, public enterprises, government debt, and intergovernmental relations. An overview of the fiscal reform process suggests that the contraction and restructuring of government operations are not likely to materialize soon and that there is a serious risk of widening fiscal imbalances during the transition.

The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 27

The Case for an Independent Fiscal Institution in Japan

In response to the recent financial crisis and the ensuing buildup in public indebtedness, an increasing number of advanced economies have created independent fiscal institutions (IFIs) to improve the quality of public finances and to strengthen the credibility of government policy. A review of Japan’s fiscal policymaking over the past decades suggests that Japan would greatly benefit from establishing an IFI in line with internationally accepted standards of good practice. Such an institution could help correct critical weaknesses in policymaking and anchor expectations, especially if introduced as part of a fiscal framework with a medium-term perspective.

Implications of EMU for Exchange Rate Policy in Central and Eastern Europe
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 42

Implications of EMU for Exchange Rate Policy in Central and Eastern Europe

In view of the requirements of Stage 2 of European Monetary Union (EMU) for accession to the European Union, this paper examines the desirability for, and the ability of, the lead candidates in Central and Eastern Europe to participate in the new exchange rate mechanism (ERM2) and eventually in EMU. For most of these countries the benefits are likely to outweigh the cost of participation. After successfully meeting the basic conditions (wage flexibility, prudent fiscal and monetary stance, financial system soundness) for ERM2, each candidate should be able to shadow the euro, with sufficient flexibility around the central rate, prior to formal participation. The paper concludes with a discussion of two policy dilemmas.

Are Europe's Social Security Finances Compatible with EMU?
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 26

Are Europe's Social Security Finances Compatible with EMU?

Pursuant to the Treaty of Maastricht, members of the European Union (EU) intend to participate in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), in part through convergence toward specified limits on the overall deficit and gross debt of general government. The paper argues that in several EU members, the financial imbalance of social security institutions may constitute an impediment to meeting these requirements. Given a constraint on further payroll tax increases, most countries will need to undertake major reform of public pension and health-care systems, to ensure adherence to the EMU fiscal criteria in the medium to long run.

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 35

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability Under Uncertainity

Unlike conventional fiscal sustainability assessments, the Value-at-Risk approach developed in this paper explicitly captures the contribution of key risk variables to public sector vulnerability. In an illustrative application to Ecuador, the VaR approach confirms a significant risk of government financial failure stemming from the volatility and comovements of the exchange rate, interest rates, oil prices, and output. Although dollarization has helped attenuate fiscal vulnerability, the volatility of sovereign spreads and of oil prices remain major sources of risk for Ecuador's public sector. The paper concludes with a discussion of policy implications, an evaluation of the methodology, and suggestions for future research.

Focus on Transition
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 430

Focus on Transition

  • Type: Book
  • -
  • Published: 1996
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  • Publisher: Unknown

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Comparaison Internationale Des Méthodes D'amortissement Fiscal
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 378
Growth-oriented Adjustment Programs
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 560

Growth-oriented Adjustment Programs

  • Type: Book
  • -
  • Published: 1987
  • -
  • Publisher: Unknown

This report presents the proceeding of a symposium on growth-oriented adjustment programs that was organized jointly by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank and held in Washington on February 25-27, 1987. The purpose of this symposium was to review the design of, and scrutinize the economic rationale behind adjustment programs supported by the Bank and the Fund, and to examine how best to help developing countries achieve balance of payments stability with sustainable economic growth. The report includes opening remarks from then Bank President, Barber Conable and Fund Managing Director, Michel Camdessus, as well as written proceedings from all sessions presented. Session topic...