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This paper considers different approaches to modelling the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic/lockdown shocks. We review different modelling strategies and argue that, given the nature of the bottom-up recession caused by the pandemic/lockdowns, simulation models of the shocks should be based on a social accounting matrix (SAM) that includes both disaggregated sectoral data and the national accounts in a unified framework. SAM-based models have been widely used to analyze the impact of natural disasters, which are comparable to pandemic/lockdown shocks. The pandemic/lockdown shocks occurred rapidly, in weeks or months, not gradually over a year or more. In such a short period, adjustme...
As the South African economy emerges from the downturn induced by COVID-19, policy makers are concerned with recovery, reconstruction, and transformation. This paper focuses on the recovery from the severely depressed levels of economic activity that occurred in April 2020. However, before considering the period after the economic trough of April 2020, a mention of economic conditions prior to the pandemic is worthwhile. In brief, economic performance was terrible by almost any metric. Furthermore, economic performance had been poor since 2008, with evidence pointing to ongoing deterioration culminating in the fourth quarter of 2019, when per capita GDP contracted, unemployment ticked upward...
The Trump Paradox: Migration, Trade, and Racial Politics in US-Mexico Integration explores one of the most complex and unequal cross-border relations in the world, in light of both a twenty-first-century political economy and the rise of Donald Trump. Despite the trillion-plus dollar contribution of Latinos to the US GDP, political leaders have paradoxically stirred racial resentment around immigrants just as immigration from Mexico has reached net zero. With a roster of state-of-the-art scholars from both Mexico and the US, The Trump Paradox explores a dilemma for a divided nation such as the US: in order for its economy to continue flourishing, it needs immigrants and trade.
Esta obra explora una de las relaciones transfronterizas más complejas y desiguales del mundo, así como el ascenso de la política racializada de Donald Trump. La mentira original del trumpismo se construyó atacando el comercio y la migración de mexicanos, a pesar de que, paradójicamente, los votantes de Trump viven en los condados menos expuestos a la inmigración y a las importaciones de México. A pesar de que los latinos contribuyen con más de un millón de millones de dólares al PIB de Estados Unidos, los líderes políticos han avivado el resentimiento racial en torno a los inmigrantes, justo cuando la tasa migratoria procedente de México ha caído a cero. Mientras tanto, se ut...
Este libro presenta la trayectoria histórica y evaluación de los efectos del Banco de Desarrollo de América del Norte (BDAN) y de su Programa de Inversión y Ajuste Comunitario (PIAC). La revisión histórica llevada a cabo en este libro tiene el propósito de evaluar el éxito y las deficiencias del programa y, consecuentemente, de ponderar cómo esta experiencia puede utilizarse en la creación de nuevos empleos, además de ayudar a prevenir el desempleo en las AED del PIAC y en comunidades afectadas de modo semejante. Anejo propósito es evaluar y mejorar la efectividad del programa en el futuro, así como informar sobre la discusión en torno a las políticas de ajuste comunitario rel...
This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO licence. It is free to read at Oxford Scholarship Online and offered as a free PDF download from OUP and selected open access locations. Detailed analyses of poverty and wellbeing in developing countries, based on household surveys, have been ongoing for more than three decades. The large majority of developing countries now regularly conduct a variety of household surveys, and the information base in developing countries with respect to poverty and wellbeing has improved dramatically. Nevertheless, appropriate measurement of poverty remains complex and controversial. This is particularly true in developing count...
"The one source that sets reference collections on Latin American studies apart from all other geographic areas of the world.... The Handbook has provided scholars interested in Latin America with a bibliographical source of a quality unavailable to scholars in most other branches of area studies." —Latin American Research Review Beginning with volume 41 (1979), the University of Texas Press became the publisher of the Handbook of Latin American Studies, the most comprehensive annual bibliography in the field. Compiled by the Hispanic Division of the Library of Congress and annotated by a corps of more than 130 specialists in various disciplines, the Handbook alternates from year to year b...
Nine tutorial lectures, another five invited lectures, 33 short talks, and a workshop summary document the largest meeting on high-energy physics held to date in Mexico. The major topics are charm decays in fixed target experiments, physics at the Tevatron, neutrinos and physics beyond the standard
Enfoca a formação das cidades paulistas criadas junto à antiga Companhia Estrada de Ferro Noroeste do Brasil - atual Novoeste, do início da construção da ferrovia, em 1905, até 1914, data que marca o término da ligação entre Bauru (SP) e Porto Esperança, no atual Mato Grosso do Sul. Nesse período, surgem, a partir das estações, povoados que apresentam certas constantes urbanísticas. Cidades como Lins, Penápolis e Araçatuba merecem análise detalhada. O autor verifica que nelas predominou, desde a sua origem, a lógica da especulação imobiliária e do lucro como base para a vida urbana.