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Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. - Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting - Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology - Math level pitched to general social science usage - Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels
A time series is a set of repeated measurements of the same phenomenon taken sequentially over time. Capturing the data creates a time series "memory" to document correlations or lack, and to help them make decisions based on this data.
WINNER, Business: Personal Finance/Investing, 2015 USA Best Book Awards FINALIST, Business: Reference, 2015 USA Best Book Awards Investor Behavior provides readers with a comprehensive understanding and the latest research in the area of behavioral finance and investor decision making. Blending contributions from noted academics and experienced practitioners, this 30-chapter book will provide investment professionals with insights on how to understand and manage client behavior; a framework for interpreting financial market activity; and an in-depth understanding of this important new field of investment research. The book should also be of interest to academics, investors, and students. The...
The refereed proceedings of the International Symposium on Parallel and Distributed Processing and Applications, ISPA 2003, held in Aizu, Japan in July 2003. The 30 revised full papers and 9 revised short papers presented together with abstracts of 4 keynotes were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on applications on Web-based and intranet systems, compiler and optimization techniques, network routing, performance evaluation of parallel systems, wireless communication and mobile computing, parallel topology, data mining and evolutionary computing, image processing and modeling, network security, and database and multimedia systems.
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Including entries from disciplines across the social sciences, this two-volume set provides coverage of a variety of issues related to the theory, research, practice and policy of health within a family context.
This book is an introduction to the topic of problem gambling and its treatment. Throughout the book, a variety of different data and information is drawn upon to understand problem gambling and its treatment. The data is based on solid research whenever possible. This includes the results of both survey research and case studies. The book follows a logical sequence, beginning with the development of an understanding of problem gambling and ending with a discussion of different kinds of treatment. Chapter 1 deals with the various terms that have been used to describe problem gambling. The focus of Chapter 2 is problem gambling as an addiction. Chapter 3 focuses on the assessment and diagnosi...