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Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences
"This book focuses on fundamental elements of time-series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time-series analysis for their research and practice. Avoiding extraordinary mathematical materials, this book explains univariate time-series analysis step-by-step, from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals to the prediction and the evaluation of estimated models. Then, this book explains smoothing, multiple time-series analysis, and interrupted time-series analysis. At the end of each step, this book coherently provides an analysis of the monthly violent-crime rates as an example."--Provided by publisher.
Ask a Manager
'I'm a HUGE fan of Alison Green's "Ask a Manager" column. This book is even better' Robert Sutton, author of The No Asshole Rule and The Asshole Survival Guide 'Ask A Manager is the book I wish I'd had in my desk drawer when I was starting out (or even, let's be honest, fifteen years in)' - Sarah Knight, New York Times bestselling author of The Life-Changing Magic of Not Giving a F*ck A witty, practical guide to navigating 200 difficult professional conversations Ten years as a workplace advice columnist has taught Alison Green that people avoid awkward conversations in the office because they don't know what to say. Thankfully, Alison does. In this incredibly helpful book, she takes on the ...
Nothing Gold Can Stay
Nothing Gold Can Stay is a richly described reminiscence of childhood on an extended family farm in the late 1940s and in the 1950s. It is written in a beautifully lyrical style and told with disarming honesty. A unique history of one unforgettable place in time, it details a distinct way of life in an America that no longer exists. Thanks to author Gloria June Reeds clarity of memory to the smallest of details, Nothing Gold Can Stay will gift you with accounts of: the fortitude and hardships of immigration as both sets of Reeds grandparents leave the Volga Valley in Russia and emigrate to America; family strength and courage during World War II; surviving the Great Blizzard of 1949; the fre...
The Forest at the Edge of the World
Captain Perrin Shin, assigned to village Edge of the World, is out to do more than command the new fort. He’s determined to uncover the mystery of the Guarders: where they live, why they attack, and what they want. Suspiciously, none of their behavior has ever made sense. Mahrree Peto, a teacher in Edge, is also growing suspicious. Of the Administrators who promise to eradicate the Guarders, and of the arrogant captain they sent to protect Edge. It’s hard to know who to trust. The most powerful man in the world is also fascinated by trust, and precisely what it takes to destroy it. He’s looking for research subjects, and up in Edge a brash captain and a nosy teacher have caught his attention. Let the experiment begin. Part fantasy, part adventure, part humor, part romance, part mystery all equates to a wholly entertaining and unique family saga. Think you know who to trust? Think you know the color of the sky? Probably not . . .
At the Water's Edge - Deluxe Edition
DELUXE EDITION WITH SEQUEL NOVELLA Sometimes you need to go back to where you came from. When Ella returns to her hometown to recover from trauma, she makes a connection with Kay, the owner of the local lake resort. Ella thought she didn’t have time for love, but this extraordinary woman may just prove her wrong. A deeply emotional read by best-selling lesbian romance author Harper Bliss.
Christian Advocate
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Stay The Night Book 3
Building an empire comes first. Or it did until I met her. My family’s billion-dollar hotel chain has been my life for as long as I can remember. Travel. Women. Wealth. That’s all I know, until fate grabs me by the throat and decides to not let up. She’s a beach body, a beautiful, curvy California girl who hasn't found the right person to give into yet. I would have felt the same, but something about her has me pacing the floor at night. And my father sent me out to her hotel specifically. The sly dog knowing that she’s exactly the woman I need in my future. But it’s not that easy. It never is. Not until our love produces a little one. Then everything changes. Especially me. Now I want more than just one night. I want forever. This is book 3 out of a 3 book series. HEA guaranteed.
The NIH Record
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Language Teacher Wellbeing across the Career Span
This book explores language teacher wellbeing across the career span from an ecological perspective. It reports on empirical findings from an extensive investigation into language teacher wellbeing in various social, cultural and linguistic contexts. It is unique in casting light on the professional trajectory of language teachers and opening up discussions on the characteristics, psychological needs and strengths of language teachers at different points in their careers. It examines wellbeing in terms of the dynamic interplay between the challenges individuals encounter in their personal and professional lives, and the psychological, social and contextual resources that they draw on to buffer the impact of these challenges. The findings of the study will help readers to understand how language teachers can protect and nurture their wellbeing, not only to remain in the profession, but also to thrive in the long-term. The book will be a valuable resource for anyone interested in the lives, wellbeing and psychology of language teachers in diverse contexts and career phases.
Think ACT Stay Safe with the R.E.A.C.T. Approach to Self Defence
As the newspapers and television constantly remind us, violent crime is on the increase, violence that can strike at you anywhere and at any time - on holiday, at work, on nights' out or during any one of a thousand everyday situations. But even if you are confronted by the unthinkable, you don't have to become a victim. This important new book shows you how you can protect yourself regardless of your age, sex or level of fitness by using the simple but effective REACT formula: R: Recognise E: Evaluate A: Alternatives C: Concentrate T: Terminate Using clear and concise step-by-step instructions, reinforced with many illustrations and diagrams, each of these five basic principles is expanded ...
