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An Algorithmic Crystal Ball: Forecasts-based on Machine Learning
Forecasting macroeconomic variables is key to developing a view on a country's economic outlook. Most traditional forecasting models rely on fitting data to a pre-specified relationship between input and output variables, thereby assuming a specific functional and stochastic process underlying that process. We pursue a new approach to forecasting by employing a number of machine learning algorithms, a method that is data driven, and imposing limited restrictions on the nature of the true relationship between input and output variables. We apply the Elastic Net, SuperLearner, and Recurring Neural Network algorithms on macro data of seven, broadly representative, advanced and emerging economies and find that these algorithms can outperform traditional statistical models, thereby offering a relevant addition to the field of economic forecasting.
Trends in Applied Knowledge-Based Systems and Data Science
This book constitutes the refereed conference proceedings of the 29th International Conference on Industrial, Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems, IEA/AIE 2016, held in Morioka, Japan, in August 2-4, 2016. The 80 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 168 submissions. They are organized in topical sections: data science; knowledge base systems; natural language processing and sentiment analysis; semantic Web and social networks; computer vision; medical diagnosis system and bio-informatics; applied neural networks; innovations in intelligent systems and applications; decision support systems; adaptive control; soft computing and multi-agent systems; evolutionary algorithms and heuristic search; system integration for real-life applications.
From Animals to Animats 7
Proceedings of the Seventh International Conference on Simulation of Adaptive Behavior
Fourth European Conference on Artificial Life
Topics include self-organization, the origins of life, natural selection, evolutionary computation, neural networks, communication, artificial worlds, software agents, philosophical issues in artificial life, ethical problems, and learning and development. Researchers in artificial life attempt to use the physical representation of lifelike phenomena to understand the organizational principles underlying the dynamics of living systems. The goal of the 1997 European Conference on Artificial Life is to provoke new understandings of the relationships between the natural and the artificial. Topics include self-organization, the origins of life, natural selection, evolutionary computation, neural networks, communication, artificial worlds, software agents, philosophical issues in artificial life, ethical problems, and learning and development.
Implementation Techniques
This volume covers practical and effective implementation techniques, including recurrent methods, Boltzmann machines, constructive learning with methods for the reduction of complexity in neural network systems, modular systems, associative memory, neural network design based on the concept of the Inductive Logic Unit, and a comprehensive treatment of implementations in the area of data classification. Numerous examples enhance the text. Practitioners, researchers,and students in engineering and computer science will find Implementation Techniques a comprehensive and powerful reference. - Recurrent methods - Boltzmann machines - Constructive learning with methods for the reduction of complexity in neural network systems - Modular systems - Associative memory - Neural network design based on the concept of the Inductive Logic Unit - Data classification - Integrated neuron model systems that function as programmable rational approximators
Advances in Artificial Intelligence: From Theory to Practice
The two-volume set LNCS 10350 and 10351 constitutes the thoroughly refereed proceedings of the 30th International Conference on Industrial, Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems, IEA/AIE 2017, held in Arras, France, in June 2017. The 70 revised full papers presented together with 45 short papers and 3 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 180 submissions. They are organized in topical sections: constraints, planning, and optimization; data mining and machine learning; sensors, signal processing, and data fusion; recommender systems; decision support systems; knowledge representation and reasoning; navigation, control, and autonome agents; sentiment analysis and social media; games, computer vision; and animation; uncertainty management; graphical models: from theory to applications; anomaly detection; agronomy and artificial intelligence; applications of argumentation; intelligent systems in healthcare and mhealth for health outcomes; and innovative applications of textual analysis based on AI.
Advances in Artificial Intelligence
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 14th Conference of the Spanish Association for Artificial Intelligence, CAEPIA 2009, held in La Laguna, Canary Islands, Spain, in November 2011. The 50 revised full papers presented were carefully selected from 149 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on agent-based and multi-agent systems; machine learning; knowledge representation, logic, search and planning; multidisciplinary topics and applications; vision and robotics; soft computing; Web intelligence and information retrieval.
Advanced Research in Applied Artificial Intelligence
This volume constitutes the thoroughly refereed conference proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligend Systems, IEA/AIE 2012, held in Dalian, China, in June 2012. The total of 82 papers selected for the proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on machine learning methods; cyber-physical system for intelligent transportation applications; AI applications; evolutionary algorithms, combinatorial optimization; modeling and support of cognitive and affective human processes; natural language processing and its applications; social network and its applications; mission-critical applications and case studies of intelligent systems; AI methods; sentiment analysis for asian languages; aspects on cognitive computing and intelligent interaction; spatio-temporal datamining, structured learning and their applications; decision making and knowledge based systems; pattern recognition; agent based systems; decision making techniques and innovative knowledge management; machine learning applications.
Microelectronics Technology and Devices - SBMicro 2008
The SBMicro symposium is a forum dedicated to fabrication and modeling of microsystems, integrated circuits and devices. The goal of the symposium is to bring together researchers in the areas of processing, materials, characterization, modeling and TCAD of integrated circuits, microsensors, microactuators and MEMS. This issue of ECS Transactions contains the papers presented at the 2008 conference.
Growing Artificial Societies
""Growing Artificial Societies" is a milestone in social science research. It vividly demonstrates the potential of agent-based computer simulation to break disciplinary boundaries. It does this by analyzing in a unified framework the dynamic interactions of such diverse activities as trade, combat, mating, culture, and disease. It is an impressive achievement." -- Robert Axelrod, University of Michigan How do social structures and group behaviors arise from the interaction of individuals? "Growing Artificial Societies" approaches this question with cutting-edge computer simulation techniques. Fundamental collective behaviors such as group formation, cultural transmission, combat, and trade ...
