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Natural Satisfaction
Life at the Au Naturel Naturist Resort is about to get wild. Making a fool of myself over a man has become a bad habit, so I'm taking time off from dating while I recuperate at my favorite nudist resort. Where my ex, Ollie, works. With his fiancée. And with his wickedly hot best friend, Damian Petrescu. Damian has made it clear he wants me, but I've made a pledge to stay celibate for at least six months. Yeah, he's hot. Soooo hot. But I've got this pledge to keep. What is it? Something about no men, no dating, no sex… Heidi Mackenzie used to be the sexiest girl on earth, but now she dresses like a frumpy college freshman. But damn, those cargo pants make me want her even more. Ollie says Heidi needs friends right now, not a lover. Well, if sexy little Heidi needs a friend, I volunteer for the job. As long as it comes with benefits… Natural Satisfaction is the third and final book in the Au Naturel Trilogy. But watch for the Au Naturel gang in the upcoming multi-series crossover book Brit vs. Scot!
Promoting Inclusive Growth in the Middle East and North Africa
Countries in the Middle East and North Africa need to boost job creation and ensure that the benefits of economic development are widely shared. This book reassesses the inclusive growth agenda in the region in light of the rapidly changing pandemic-influenced world.
Australia
2024 Selected Issues
Sovereign Risk and Bank Risk-Taking
I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic complementarities and possibly multiple equilibria: in response to an increase in funding costs, banks may optimally choose to pursue risky portfolios that undermine their solvency prospects. In a bad equilibrium, high funding costs hinder the accumulation of bank net worth, leading to a persistent drop in investment and output. I brin...
Vanuatu
Following a successful COVID-19 containment strategy, the border reopened in July 2022, and tourism is returning to Vanuatu. Economic activity is expected to be strong in the near term, with real GDP growing around 3.4 percent in 2023, as tourism and construction activities resume. High imported prices are likely to stoke inflation and push the current account into deficit, while fiscal policy will turn more expansionary. The Economic Citizenship Program (ECP) is facing significant challenges, with important implications for revenue and governance, while Air Vanuatu, the national airline, is facing serious operational and financial difficulties. Key structural vulnerabilities relating to climate change, limited infrastructure development capacity, and weak governance, persist.
Post-Crisis Changes in Global Bank Business Models: A New Taxonomy
The Global Financial Crisis unleashed changes in the operating and regulatory environments for large international banks. This paper proposes a novel taxonomy to identify and track business model evolution for the 30 Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs). Drawing from banks’ reporting, it identifies strategies along four dimensions –consolidated lines of business and geographic orientation, and the funding models and legal entity structures of international operations. G-SIBs have adjusted their business models, especially by reducing market intensity. While G-SIBs have maintained international orientation, pressures on funding models and entity structures could affect the efficiency of capital flows through the bank channel.
Republic of Korea
Korea faced challenges from inflation, growth slowdown, and financial stress in the wake of the pandemic. Growth started to slow in mid-2022 as global demand for electronics waned and domestic demand weakened but has begun to gradually recover in recent quarters. Headline inflation has declined from last year’s peak, though core inflation has remained more persistent. Pockets of financial vulnerability have emerged, but swift policy measures have helped to stabilize financial and housing markets. Despite having increased, systemic financial risks appear to remain manageable.
Review of The Debt Sustainability Framework For Market Access Countries
A careful review has revealed significant scope to modernize and better align the MAC DSA with its objectives and the IMF’s lending framework. This note proposes replacing the current framework with a new methodology based on risk assessments at three different horizons. Extensive testing has shown that the proposed framework has much better predictive accuracy than the current one. In addition to predicting sovereign stress, the framework can be used to derive statements about debt stabilization under current policies and about debt sustainability.
The American Wives Club
When best friends fall for the same girl, it takes a family to save the day. MacTaggarts love to meddle. I learned that lesson long ago, but when my brother Jack sends me to a physical therapy clinic, I have no clue about his real motive. Until I meet my therapist. Kate Wagner is a bossy lass who wants to shrink my head while she rehabilitates my knee. I don’t care how sexy she is. The woman ordered me not to ride my Harley, and that's unacceptable. I might have accidentally kissed her, but I cannae stand the woman. So when my British best friend, Hugh Parrish, sets his sights on Kate, I say fine. He can have the overbearing lass. Callum MacTaggart gets under my skin like nobody else ever ...
Regional Economic Outlook, Asia and Pacific, April 2024
Growth in Asia and the Pacific outperformed expectations in late 2023, reaching 5.0 percent for the year. Inflation has continued to decline, albeit at varying speeds: some economies are still seeing sustained price pressures, while others are facing deflationary risks. In 2024, growth is projected to slow modestly to 4.5 percent. Near-term risks are now broadly balanced, as global disinflation and the prospect of monetary easing have increased the likelihood of a soft landing. Spillovers from a deeper property sector correction in China remain an important risk, however, while geoeconomic fragmentation clouds medium-term prospects. Given the diverse inflation landscape, central bank policies need to calibrate policies carefully to domestic needs. Fiscal consolidation should accelerate to contain debt burdens and debt service cost, in order to preserve budgetary space for addressing structural challenges, including population aging and climate change.
