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While many books talk about forecasting and decision making, this one is particularly engaging because of Kenneth A. Posner's personal experience - and the honesty with which he discusses it. As a longtime analyst at Morgan Stanley, Posner had to make decisions about whether to invest in many recent high-profile, high-stakes "Black Swan" anomalies. He explains general models and approaches to dealing with uncertainty, sorting information, and developing your analytical skills and judgment. That alone is worthwhile, but the book is especially lively when Posner reviews his specific decisions. He shares his reasoning and exposes his successes and his failures to public view. The result is a knowledge-dense but very readable work that getAbstract recommends to all analysts, but also to those who want to deal with information overload and improve their decision making.
Discover the Ideal Investment Strategy for Yourself and YourClients "To enhance investment results and boost creativity, Jim Warereplaces the maxim know your investments with know yourself. And hegives us specific testing tools to do the job." --Dean LeBaron, Founder, Batterymarch FinancialManagement, Chairman, Virtualquest.company, and investment authorand commentator "Many investment firms fail, even though they are run byintelligent, qualified professionals, because they lack creativity.This book can rescue you. Jim Ware explains how to organize yourbusiness to encourage creative thinking. In five years, yourcustomers will be working with an advisor who read this book, somake sure you are...
Die Chaostheorie erfreut sich in der Investmentbranche zwar großer Beliebtheit, aber bislang konnte niemand so recht sagen, wie man mit ihrer Hilfe Aktienkurse und Gewinne prognostizieren kann. Dieses Buch zeigt auf der Basis praktischer Methoden, daß Aktienkurse mit Hilfe der nichtlinearen Theorie zumindest teilweise vorhersehbar sind. Es wird anschaulich erläutert, wie verschiedene nichtlineare Techniken wie z.B. genetische Algorithmen, Fuzzy Logic und nichtlineare Dynamik anzuwenden sind. Hierbei läßt der Autor, der diese Methoden selbst gewinnbringend einsetzt, seine eigenen Erfahrungen mit einfließen. Das erste Buch zu diesem Thema, das reale, praxisnahe Anwendungen bietet. (01/99)
Kluge und profitable Strategien für den Optionshandel - hier lernt jeder etwas Neues, ob Einsteiger oder Profi im Investmentgeschäft! Informationen aus erster Hand von Bernard Schaeffer, einem regelmäßig zitierten Spezialisten, zu den Unterschieden zwischen Aktien- und Optionshandel, zur Risikoeinschätzung, zu Finanzmanagement und Handelsstrategien. (11/97)
Vor einer erfolgreichen Verkaufsplanung steht die sorgfältige Marktanalyse. Bei dieser nicht unkomplizierten Aufgabe hilft Ihnen die neue Methode, die in diesem Buch erläutert wird: Wichtige psychologische und technische Indikatoren des Marktverhaltens werden verknüpft. Eine unentbehrliche Fundgrube für alle Händler, die strategische Entscheidungen für ihr Geschäft treffen müssen.
The risk-based approach to capital markets regulation is in crisis. Climate change, shifting demographics, geopolitical conflicts and other environmental discontinuities threaten established business models and shorten the life spans of listed companies. The current rules for periodic disclosure in the EU fail to inform market participants adequately. Unlike risks, uncertainties are unquantifiable or may only be quantified at great cost, causing them to be insufficiently reflected in periodic reports. This is unfortunate, given the pivotal role capital markets must play in the economy’s adaptation to environmental discontinuities. It is only with a reformed framework for periodic disclosure, that gradual and orderly adaptation to these discontinuities appears feasible. To ensure orderly market adaptation, a new reporting format is required: scenario analysis should be integrated into the European framework for periodic disclosure.
The latest developments in chaos theory - from an industry expert Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets was the first book to introduce and popularize chaos as it applies to finance. It has since become the classic source on the topic. This new edition is completely updated to include the latest ripples in chaos theory with new chapters that tie in today's hot innovations, such as fuzzy logic, neural nets, and artificial intelligence. Critical praise for Peters and the first edition of Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets "The bible of market chaologists." - BusinessWeek "Ed Peters has written a first-class summary suitable for any investment professional or skilled investor." - Technical...
Experts from the world's major financial institutions contributed to this work and have already used the newest technologies. Gives proven strategies for using neural networks, algorithms, fuzzy logic and nonlinear data analysis techniques to enhance profitability. The latest analytical breakthroughs, the impact on modern finance theory and practice, including the best ways for profitably applying them to any trading and portfolio management system, are all covered.
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This edited volume comprises invited chapters that cover five areas of the current and the future development of intelligent systems and information sciences. Half of the chapters were presented as invited talks at the Workshop "Future Directions for Intelligent Systems and Information Sciences" held in Dunedin, New Zealand, 22-23 November 1999 after the International Conference on Neuro-Information Processing (lCONIPI ANZIISI ANNES '99) held in Perth, Australia. In order to make this volume useful for researchers and academics in the broad area of information sciences I invited prominent researchers to submit materials and present their view about future paradigms, future trends and directi...