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Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences
"This book focuses on fundamental elements of time-series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time-series analysis for their research and practice. Avoiding extraordinary mathematical materials, this book explains univariate time-series analysis step-by-step, from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals to the prediction and the evaluation of estimated models. Then, this book explains smoothing, multiple time-series analysis, and interrupted time-series analysis. At the end of each step, this book coherently provides an analysis of the monthly violent-crime rates as an example."--Provided by publisher.
High-Dimensional Probability
An integrated package of powerful probabilistic tools and key applications in modern mathematical data science.
Grade 4 Decimals and Fractions
Our Calculation Workbooks follow the Kumon Method, a proven learning system that helps children succeed and excel in math. Kumon Workbooks gradually introduce new topics in a logical progression and always include plenty of practice. As a result, children master one skill at a time and move forward without anxiety or frustration.
Nothing Gold Can Stay
Nothing Gold Can Stay is a richly described reminiscence of childhood on an extended family farm in the late 1940s and in the 1950s. It is written in a beautifully lyrical style and told with disarming honesty. A unique history of one unforgettable place in time, it details a distinct way of life in an America that no longer exists. Thanks to author Gloria June Reeds clarity of memory to the smallest of details, Nothing Gold Can Stay will gift you with accounts of: the fortitude and hardships of immigration as both sets of Reeds grandparents leave the Volga Valley in Russia and emigrate to America; family strength and courage during World War II; surviving the Great Blizzard of 1949; the fre...
Christian Advocate
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Language Teacher Wellbeing across the Career Span
This book explores language teacher wellbeing across the career span from an ecological perspective. It reports on empirical findings from an extensive investigation into language teacher wellbeing in various social, cultural and linguistic contexts. It is unique in casting light on the professional trajectory of language teachers and opening up discussions on the characteristics, psychological needs and strengths of language teachers at different points in their careers. It examines wellbeing in terms of the dynamic interplay between the challenges individuals encounter in their personal and professional lives, and the psychological, social and contextual resources that they draw on to buffer the impact of these challenges. The findings of the study will help readers to understand how language teachers can protect and nurture their wellbeing, not only to remain in the profession, but also to thrive in the long-term. The book will be a valuable resource for anyone interested in the lives, wellbeing and psychology of language teachers in diverse contexts and career phases.
The Forest at the Edge of the World
Captain Perrin Shin, assigned to village Edge of the World, is out to do more than command the new fort. He’s determined to uncover the mystery of the Guarders: where they live, why they attack, and what they want. Suspiciously, none of their behavior has ever made sense. Mahrree Peto, a teacher in Edge, is also growing suspicious. Of the Administrators who promise to eradicate the Guarders, and of the arrogant captain they sent to protect Edge. It’s hard to know who to trust. The most powerful man in the world is also fascinated by trust, and precisely what it takes to destroy it. He’s looking for research subjects, and up in Edge a brash captain and a nosy teacher have caught his attention. Let the experiment begin. Part fantasy, part adventure, part humor, part romance, part mystery all equates to a wholly entertaining and unique family saga. Think you know who to trust? Think you know the color of the sky? Probably not . . .
Bridges to Understanding
This is the fourth volume sponsored by the United States Board on Books for Young People, following Children's Books from Other Countries (1998), The World Through Children's Books (2002), and Crossing Boundaries (2006). This latest volume, edited by Linda M. Pavonetti, includes books published between 2005 and 2009. This annotated bibliography, organized geographically by world region and country, with descriptions of nearly 700 books representing more than 70 countries, is a valuableresource for librarians, teachers, and anyone else seeking to promote international understanding through children's literature. Like its predecessors, it will be an important tool for providing stories that will help children understand our differences while simultaneously demonstrating our common humanity.
Utter Nonsense
"This book is intended to bring joy to those who love solving brain-wracking puzzles and coded messages. If you are not one of these people, put the book down slowly and carefully, and then walk away" - James Burke, author of Connections and The Day the Universe Changed
