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This is a collection of the author's contributions to the philosophy, theory and application of Bayesian analysis as it relates to statistics, econometrics, and economics. It shows how Bayesians have helped researchers and analysts to become more effective in learning from data and making decisions. Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches are compared in several papers.
Remarks on inference in economics; Principles of bayesian analysis with selected applications; The univariate normal linear regression model; Special problems in regression analysis; On error in the variables; Analysis of single equation nonlinear models; Time series models: some selected examples; Multivariate regression models; Simultaneous equation econometric models; On comparing and testing hypotheses; Analysis of some control problems.
This book is a definitive work that captures the current state of knowledge of Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics and attempts to move it forward. It covers such topics as foundations, forecasting inferential matters, regression, computation and applications.
The idea that simplicity matters in science is as old as science itself, with the much cited example of Ockham's Razor, 'entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem': entities are not to be multiplied beyond necessity. Using a multidisciplinary perspective this monograph asks 'What is meant by simplicity?'
Based on two lectures presented as part of The Stone Lectures in Economics series, Arnold Zellner describes the structural econometric time series analysis (SEMTSA) approach to statistical and econometric modeling. Developed by Zellner and Franz Palm, the SEMTSA approach produces an understanding of the relationship of univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models and dynamic, time series structural econometric models. As scientists and decision-makers in industry and government world-wide adopt the Bayesian approach to scientific inference, decision-making and forecasting, Zellner offers an in-depth analysis and appreciation of this important paradigm shift. Finally Zellner discusses the alternative approaches to model building and looks at how the use and development of the SEMTSA approach has led to the production of a Marshallian Macroeconomic Model that will prove valuable to many. Written by one of the foremost practitioners of econometrics, this book will have wide academic and professional appeal.
Illustrates the scope and diversity of modern applications, reviews advances, and highlights many desirable aspects of inference and computations. This work presents an historical overview that describes key contributions to development and makes predictions for future directions.
Economic Theory, Dynamics, and Markets. The collection of essays in honor of Ryuzo Sato, written by his colleagues and students, covers the many fields of economic theory and policy to which he has contributed. The first section pays tribute to his contributions to mathematical economics and economic theory. Ryuzo Sato is known for his work in growth theory and technical progress, and the second section has a number of papers on macroeconomics and dynamics. The third section has a number of papers on financial markets and their functioning in Japan and the United States. The next section examines various aspects of the economics of firms and industry. Ryuzo Sato has been very involved in analyzing the economic and business relations between Japan and the United States, and the last section is devoted to comparative analysis of economic systems.