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Event History Analysis
"In a manner similar to many other titles within the Applied Social Research Methods Series, this 182-page book thoroughly covers many of the specific methodological hurdles encountered in implementing event history analysis (EHA). The Applied Social Research Methods Series' ... is the result of careful subject selection. ... Consistent with the practical orientation of the book, each of the application sections provides useful insights into data structure problems and programming notes. ... Kazuo Yamaguchi's insightful review of problems in structuring EHA models is useful for those contemplating life-course research. ... We strongly recommend its inclusion in the libraries of marketing res...
Lessons From Systemic Bank Restructuring
In recent decades, a wide range of countries have experienced banking problems. Their approaches to systemic bank restructuring have varied substantially. This paper analyzes a representative sample of 24 countries and provides a summary of policies judged to be successful. The sample countries were ranked by relative progress in resolving banking sector problems. Based on this ranking, the paper examines the effectiveness of institutional and regulatory measures, assesses the impact of accompanying macroeconomic policies, and examines the extent to which particular restructuring instruments contributed to success. Special emphasis is given to the role of the central bank.
The Nordic Banking Crisis
This study examines the banking crises in Finland, Norway and Sweden, which took place in the early 1990s, and draws some policy conclusions from their experiences. One key conclusion is that factors in addition to business cycle effects explain the Nordic countries financial problems. Although the timing of the deregulation in all three countries coincided with a strongly expansionary macroeconomic momentum, the main reasons for the banking crises were the delayed policy responses, the structural characteristics of the financial systems, and the banks inadequate internal risk-management controls.
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When in Peril, Retrench
One plausible mechanism through which financial market shocks may propagate across countries is through the effect of past gains and losses on investors` risk aversion. We first present a simple model on how heterogeneous changes in investors` risk aversion affect portfolio decisions and stock prices. Second, we empirically show that, when funds` returns are below average, they adjust their holdings toward the average (or benchmark) portfolio. In other words, they tend to sell the assets of countries in which they were quot;overweight,quot; increasing their exposure to countries in which they were quot;underweight.quot; Based on this insight, we construct a matrix of financial interdependence reflecting the extent to which countries share overexposed funds. This index can improve predictions about which countries are likely to be affected by contagion from crisis centers.
Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual
This Manual offers guidelines for the presentation of monetary and financial statistics. It provides a set of tools for identifying, classifying, and recording stocks and flows of financial assets and liabilities, describes the standard, analytically oriented frame works in which the statistics may be presented, and identifies a set of analytically useful aggregates within those frameworks. The concepts and principles set out in the Manual are harmonized with those of the System of National Accounts 1993.
Financial Sector Crisis and Restructuring
An IMF paper reviewing the policy responses of Indonesia, Korea and Thailand to the 1997 Asian crisis, comparing the actions of these three countries with those of Malaysia and the Philippines. Although all judgements are still tentative, important lessons can be learned from the experiences of the last two years.
The Use of Blanket Guarantees in Banking Crises
In episodes of significant banking distress or perceived systemic risk to the financial system, policymakers have often opted for issuing blanket guarantees on bank liabilities to stop or avoid widespread bank runs. In theory, blanket guarantees can prevent bank runs if they are credible. However, guarantee could add substantial fiscal costs to bank restructuring programs and may increase moral hazard going forward. Using a sample of 42 episodes of banking crises, this paper finds that blanket guarantees are successful in reducing liquidity pressures on banks arising from deposit withdrawals. However, banks' foreign liabilities appear virtually irresponsive to blanket guarantees. Furthermore, guarantees tend to be fiscally costly, though this positive association arises in large part because guarantees tend to be employed in conjunction with extensive liquidity support and when crises are severe.
