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Prediction Markets
Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.
Markets without Limits
May you sell your vote? May you sell your kidney? May gay men pay surrogates to bear them children? May spouses pay each other to watch the kids, do the dishes, or have sex? Should we allow the rich to genetically engineer gifted, beautiful children? Should we allow betting markets on terrorist attacks and natural disasters? Most people shudder at the thought. To put some goods and services for sale offends human dignity. If everything is commodified, then nothing is sacred. The market corrodes our character. Or so most people say. In Markets without Limits, Jason Brennan and Peter Jaworski give markets a fair hearing. The market does not introduce wrongness where there was not any previously. Thus, the authors claim, the question of what rightfully may be bought and sold has a simple answer: if you may do it for free, you may do it for money. Contrary to the conservative consensus, they claim there are no inherent limits to what can be bought and sold, but only restrictions on how we buy and sell.
Manipulations in Prediction Markets
Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.
Negotiation, Auctions, and Market Engineering
This book contains a selection of papers presented at the International Seminar "Negotiation and Market Engineering", held at Dagstuhl Castle, Germany, in November 2006. The 17 revised full papers presented were carefully selected and reviewed. The papers deal with the complexity of negotiations, auctions, and markets as economic, social, and IT systems. The authors give a broad overview on the major issues to be addressed and the methodologies used to approach them.
Towards a science of ideas: An inquiry into the emergence, evolution and expansion of ideas and their translation into action
Ideas are the basic building blocks that construct the world we live in. Yet despite the abundance of literature on creativity and innovation, there has been little reflection on ideas as such, their nature and their working mechanisms. This book provides foundations for a reflection focused specifically on ideas - what they are, how they emerge, develop, interact, gain acceptance and become translated into actions. In doing so the book moves beyond the mainstream approaches, offering new, promising theoretical angles, presenting original findings and initiating a research agenda for a science of ideas. This book provides a fresh perspective on how to conceptualize and study ideas and their working mechanisms by treating ideas as the main object of the study and by bringing together a group of original thinkers, scholars, and philosophers to move beyond the mainstream academic discourse on creativity and innovation.
Dezentrale Handelsplattformen im Schweizer Finanzmarktrecht
Gegenstand der Dissertation ist eine umfassende rechtstatsächliche und finanzmarktrechtliche Einordnung des Phänomens der dezentralen Handelsplattformen (Decentralized Exchanges, DEX). Der Autor behandelt die Frage, ob dezentrale Handelsplattformen unter Berücksichtigung der mit ihnen verbundenen Innovationschancen und der von ihnen ausgehenden Risiken einen Regulierungsanlass darstellen und wie darauf reagiert werden kann. Die Arbeit zeigt die praktischen Einordnungsprobleme auf, mit welchen das heutige Finanzmarktrecht konfrontiert ist. Um für diese Probleme mögliche Antworten zu entwickeln, erarbeitet der Autor auf der Grundlage eines Rechtsprinzips der Dezentralität Kriterien, welche die Abgrenzung dezentraler Handelsplattformen von Erscheinungsformen erlauben, die über keine ausreichende Verteilung der Kontroll- und Machtstrukturen verfügen (Dezentralitätstest). Der Autor kommt zum Schluss, dass für dezentrale Phänomene in erster Linie Regulierungsansätze überzeugend sind, die ihre Grundlage in einer selbstverantwortlich und wettbewerblich organisierten Finanzmarktordnung haben.
„Die unsichtbaren Dritten“
Bisherige Modelle zur Evaluation und Steuerung von Public Relations konzentrieren sich auf Medien- und direkte Zielgruppen-Effekte. Die Beziehungsebene („Relations“) und der Aspekt der Öffentlichkeit („Public“) werden nur selten berücksichtigt. Michael Bürker entwickelt einen Ansatz, der die Koorientierung an der Wahrnehmung des Meinungsklimas in Bezugsgruppen und Gesellschaft aufnimmt und damit zugleich dynamische als auch systemische Effekte erfasst. Damit verbunden ist ein verändertes PR-Verständnis, das von der Unterscheidung Selbst-/Fremdbild auf die Nah-/Fernbild-Differenz als strategische Steuerungsgröße wechselt.
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