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The GVAR Handbook
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 299

The GVAR Handbook

The GVAR is a Global Vector Auto-Regression model of the global economy. Its main feature is to take into account the financial and real linkages connecting the major world economies. This book provides an overview of the GVAR and its applications: forecasting, finance issues, and regional studies.

The Economics of Firm Productivity
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 243

The Economics of Firm Productivity

Provides empirical evidence on how firm-level data can help governments strike the right policy balance and ultimately achieving higher aggregate productivity.

Globalisation, Regionalism and Economic Interdependence
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 183

Globalisation, Regionalism and Economic Interdependence

An assessment of the extent to which increased global and regional integration has changed the functioning of the world economy. With contributions from both academics and professionals, it analyses the implications for global trade, relocation of production, structural changes and the international transmission of shocks.

Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 472

Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth

Labor productivity growth in the United States and other advanced countries has slowed dramatically since the mid-2000s, a major factor in their economic stagnation and political turmoil. Economists have been debating the causes of the slowdown and possible remedies for some years. Unaddressed in this discussion is what happens if the slowdown is not reversed. In this volume, a dozen renowned scholars analyze the impact of sustained lower productivity growth on public finances, social protection, trade, capital flows, wages, inequality, and, ultimately, politics in the advanced industrial world. They conclude that slow productivity growth could lead to unpredictable and possibly dangerous new problems, aggravating inequality and increasing concentration of market power. Facing Up to Low Productivity Growth also proposes ways that countries can cope with these consequences.

European Social Model
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 25

European Social Model

Developing countries, esp. the least developed ones, have more to learn from social policies in Europe during the early 20th cent. than from the elaborate welfare-state arrangements after WW2. In addition to macro-economic growth and stability, the main ambitions must be to fight human deprivation, incl. illiteracy, malnutrition, and poor access to water and sanitation; in some cases, also weak, incompetent, and/or corrupt governments. Informal systems in the fields of transfers and social services must not be destroyed when developing countries embark on more formal systems. The European experience also warns against the creation of social systems that are so generous that disincentives and receding social norms distort the nat. economy.

Role of Infrastructure in Land-Use Dynamics and Rice Production in Viet Nam's Mekong River Delta
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 31

Role of Infrastructure in Land-Use Dynamics and Rice Production in Viet Nam's Mekong River Delta

Examines the role of infrastructure development and technical change in explaining increases in agricultural production and changes in land use in the Mekong Delta Region of Viet Nam during the mid-1990s. The transportation costs involved in moving agricultural input and output between farms and markets significantly effect farm land use and production decisions. Greater transport costs reduce the likelihood that farms adopt intensive cropping patterns or cultivate non-rice crops. Results suggest that the quality of local water management infrastructure is much more important than transport costs in explaining the increased intensity of land use and level of production observed in the Mekong Delta during the 1990s. Illustrations.

Firms in the International Economy
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 441

Firms in the International Economy

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 2013-12-13
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  • Publisher: MIT Press

Essays by leading scholars suggest that insights from international business could enrich firm heterogeneity research in international economics. Despite their common roots, international economics (IE) and international business (IB) have developed into two distinct fields of study. Economists have directed their efforts at formalizing the workings of international trade and investment at the macroeconomic level; business scholars have relied more on data-driven conceptual narratives than mathematical tools. But the recent focus of IE literature on firm heterogeneity suggests that IE would benefit from IB analyses of the behavior and organization of the internationalizing firm. The contribu...

The Euro’s Effecton Trade Imbalances
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 32

The Euro’s Effecton Trade Imbalances

When does trade become a one-way relationship? We study bilateral trade balances for a sample of 18 European countries over the period from 1948 through 2008. We find that, with the introduction of the euro, trade imbalances among euro area members widened considerably, even after allowing for permanent asymmetries in trade competitiveness within pairs of countries or in the overall trade competitiveness of individual countries. This is consistent with indications that pair-wise trade tends to be more balanced when nominal exchange rates are flexible. Intra-euro area imbalances also seem to have become more persistent with the introduction of the euro, some of which is linked to labor market inflexibility. Reviewing the direction of imbalances, we find that bilateral trade surpluses are decreasing in the real exchange rate, decreasing in growth differentials, and increasing in the relative volatility of national business cycles. Finally, countries with relatively higher fiscal deficits and less flexible labor and product markets exhibit systematically lower trade surpluses than others.

Global Interdependence, Decoupling, and Recoupling
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 317

Global Interdependence, Decoupling, and Recoupling

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 2013-11-15
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  • Publisher: MIT Press

Investigations of the propagation and influence of global shocks among the economies of developed and developing countries. One lens through which to view global economic interdependence and the spillover of shocks is that of decoupling (and then recoupling). Decoupling between developed and developing countries can be seen in the strong economic performance of China and India relative to that of the United States and Europe in the early 2000s. Recoupling then took place as developing countries sank along with the developed world during the deepening financial crisis of 2008. This volume examines patterns of global economic interdependence and the propagation of shocks in an increasingly int...

Macroeconometric Models for Portfolio Management
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 242

Macroeconometric Models for Portfolio Management

  • Type: Book
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  • Published: 2021-09-07
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  • Publisher: Vernon Press

‘Macroeconometric Models for Portfolio Management’ begins by outlining a portfolio management framework into which macroeconometric models and backtesting investment strategies are integrated. It is followed by a discussion on the theoretical backgrounds of both small and global large macroeconometric models, including data selection, estimation, and applications. Other practical concerns essential to managing a portfolio with decisions driven by macro models are also covered: model validation, forecast combination, and evaluation. The author then focuses on applying these models and their results on managing the portfolio, including making trading rules and asset allocation across diffe...