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Probability of Sea Level Rise
Develops probability-based projections that can be added to local tide-gauge trends to estimate future sea level at particular locations. The key coefficients in those models are based on subjective probability distributions supplied by a cross-section of climatologists, oceanographers, & glaciologists. Covers: concentrations of greenhouse gases; Greenland & Antarctic ice sheets, & small glaciers. Concludes that sea levels will rise 15 cm by the year 2050 & 34 cm by the year 2100, & a 10% chance that levels will rise 30 cm by 2050. Tables.
