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Panama
This paper presents empirical evidence on the effects of achieving investment grade on borrowing costs for the sovereign and the private sector. This study provides background information on sovereign credit ratings and compares Panama’s key macroeconomic and institutional characteristics with those of other emerging markets. Statistical evidence on the reduction in sovereign spreads associated with obtaining investment grade status and the impact of the sovereign’s upgrade on corporate financing costs were also discussed. The model is estimated using a variety of panel regression techniques.
Policy Options for Supporting and Restructuring Firms Hit by the COVID-19 Crisis
This paper presents principles that could guide the design of more targeted policy support and facilitate the restructuring of firms adversely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. To this end, the paper takes stock of vulnerabilities and risks in the enterprise sector and assesses countries’ preparedness to handle a large-scale restructuring of businesses. Crisis preparedness of insolvency systems is measured according to a newly designed indicator that includes five dimensions of the insolvency and restructuring regime (out-of-court restructuring, hybrid restructuring, reorganization, liquidation, and the institutional framework). Vulnerabilities tend to be more pronounced in jurisdictions with shortcomings in crisis preparedness, and those countries need to step up efforts to improve their insolvency systems.
Cambodia
After suffering a recession during the pandemic, the Cambodian economy was on a steady recovery path, but is facing new pressures in 2022 that have buffeted external demand and increased inflation rates. The authorities have largely continued with crisis policy responses and have pressed on with policy reforms. The recovery is projected to continue, notwithstanding external stresses. Risks of public debt distress remain low. However, the level of private debt raises concerns about potential debt overhang.
Gabon
This 2014 Article IV Consultation highlights that Gabon’s growth performance has recently been strong, but fiscal pressures have increased significantly. Real GDP growth has averaged about 6 percent in the last four years on the back of substantial scaling-up of capital spending as the authorities implement their strategy Plan Stratégique Gabon Emergent to promote economic diversification and growth inclusiveness. The medium-term growth outlook has weakened as a result of the sharp decline in oil prices, but is expected to remain relatively strong. Growth is expected to be driven by a number of projects under way in agro-industry, mining, and wood processing.
Mexico
This paper discusses recent economic developments, outlook, and risks in the economy of Mexico. The economy continues to grow at a moderate pace. Growth reached 21⁄2 percent in 2015 and is projected to remain at a similar level in 2016. Global financial volatility has increased sharply over the last year, with significant spillovers to Mexico’s financial markets. The flexible credit line (FCL) has served the Mexican economy well. The previous FCL arrangements provided valuable insurance in the immediate aftermath of the 2008–09 global financial crisis and during the euro area crisis and the recent turbulent period in the run-up to the start of U.S. monetary policy normalization.
Republic of Serbia
This paper discusses Republic of Serbia’s 2019 Article IV Consultation and Second Review Under the Policy Coordination Instrument. Serbia’s macroeconomic performance, supported by the Policy Coordination Instrument, has been strong. Growth has been robust, public debt is declining, employment is rising, the financial sector is sound, and inflation is low. Strong fiscal performance continues, facilitating higher capital spending and a reduction of the tax burden on labor as well as faster debt reduction. Continued strong program implementation and determined structural reforms are important to address the challenges and accelerate income convergence with the EU. Fiscal performance has been strong, while important reforms took place toward modernization of the tax administration and privatization of the largest state-owned bank. Stronger commitment to the implementation of planned structural reforms is needed to boost potential growth and improve the private investment climate. However, Serbia remains vulnerable to spillovers from external developments, including weaker-than-expected growth in key trading partners.
Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries - Background Paper 1
This paper provides deeper insights on a few themes with regard to the experience with macroeconomic management in resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). First, some stylized facts on the performance of these economies relative to their non-resource peers are provided. Second, the experience of Fund engagement in these economies with respect to surveillance, programs, and technical assistance is assessed. Third, the experience of selected countries with good practices in the management of the natural resource wealth is presented. Fourth, the experience of IMF advice in helping RRDCs set up resource funds is discussed. Finally, the main themes and messages from the IMF staff consultation with external stakeholders (CSOs, policy makers, academics) are presented.
Macroeconomic Policy Frameworks for Resource-Rich Developing Countries--Analytic Frameworks and Applications
This supplement presents the analytical frameworks underlying the IMF’s staff’s enhanced policy analysis and advice to resource-rich developing countries (RRDCs). The proposed macro-fiscal models, which are applied to selected country or regional cases, are aimed at addressing questions regarding how to deal with resource revenue uncertainty and how to scale up spending within relevant frameworks that ensure fiscal and external sustainability while addressing absorptive capacity constraints. The country applications confirm the importance attached by both IMF staff and country authorities of using the appropriate macro-fiscal frameworks to address the specific challenges faced by RRDCs.
Republic of Equatorial Guinea
This 2015 Article IV Consultation highlights that Equatorial Guinea’s recent economic performance has been weak, notwithstanding the high-quality infrastructure that has been built. The current account deficit has progressively increased to about 10 percent of GDP by 2014 as a result of lower exports from maturing hydrocarbon fields combined with high import levels associated with the public infrastructure program, although there is considerable uncertainty about this figure given very weak external sector statistics. The main near-term risk to the economic outlook is a slower-than-expected fiscal adjustment that could result in the depletion of fiscal buffers and accumulation of public debt. Moreover, an insufficient effort to address a weak business climate and attract foreign investment would impede diversification and potential nonhydrocarbon growth.
The Day Apometry Cured Schizophrenia
Since 1990 I have tried to understand the spiritual part of both myself and my family, and in this quest, I found the "cure" for Schizophrenia. And yes, I want to share with everyone how Apometry can be the oldest new science in the world. Study it
