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Walking a Fine Line
This paper analyzes the macroeconomics of scaling up public investment in Burkina Faso under alternative financing options, including through foreign aid and a combination of tax adjustment and borrowing. Our findings are twofold: (1) raising official development assistance in line with the Gleneagles agreement provides scope for financing public investment at low cost and would have positive, but somewhat moderate, effects on aggregate output—the growth dividends in the nontradables sector would be partially offset by the Dutch disease in the tradables sector; and (2) the massive investment scaling-up contemplated under Burkina Faso’s “accelerated growth” strategy, while boosting medium- and long-term growth, would lead to unsustainable debt dynamics under a plausible tax adjustment and realistic concessional financing. A more gradual approach to closing Burkina Faso’s infrastructure gap is therefore desirable because it would take into account the needed time for the country to address its capacity constraints and to further improve investment efficiency.
Financing Growth in the WAEMU Through the Regional Securities Market
The West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) regional securities market saw increasing activity in the last decade, but still fell short of supplying sufficient long-term financing for growth-enhancing public and private investment projects. In addition to providing an institutional background, this paper studies recent developments and the determinants of interest rates on the market—using yield curve and principal component analyses. It also identifies challenges and prospective reforms that could help the region reap the full benefits of a more dynamic securities market and assesses the potential systemic risk the market may pose for the region’s banking system.
Finance & Development, December 2023
Generative AI has introduced tantalizing new possibilities. Yet the initial excitement surrounding AI has given way to genuine concerns. This issue is an early attempt to understand AI’s implications for growth, jobs, inequality, and finance.
Central African Economic and Monetary Community
This Selected Issues paper assesses the appropriate level of international reserves for the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa. The management of the regional central bank’s (BEAC’s) international reserves is governed by monetary cooperation agreements with France. In view of current risks, it is suggested that the BEAC should define its target level of international reserves. The BEAC should have a framework that reflects fairly each member state’s contribution to the pooled reserves. The enforcement of the surrender requirement should be based on a finding of noncompliance even if the target level is achieved. The institutional framework for reserve management should also provide for the achievement of the target level.
Zambia
This 2009 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Zambian economy has performed well in recent years and showed some resilience to the recent global recession. Growth in 2009 is now projected at 5.3 percent, in line with the average for recent years, as the slowdown in the tertiary sector was compensated by a significant increase in copper production and a bumper crop. Executive Directors have commended the Zambian authorities for their prudent macroeconomic management, observing that the Zambian economy has proven resilient to the global economic crisis.
Proposed Amendment on the Reform of the IMF Executive Board and Fourteenth General Review of Quotas - Status of Acceptances and Consents
A stronger presumption of publication for all program-related documents could further increase publication rates, while defining prompt publication should help reduce publication lags. Streamlining external communication products could reduce the risk of inconsistent messaging. The review also presents new evidence on evenhandedness with now only few cases not fulfilling the criteria for modifications under the policy. It nevertheless suggests measures to strengthen monitoring in this area. The review sets out the Fund’s policies on confidential information, and proposes that staff systematically explains these policies in its interactions with country authorities. In response to recent surveillance reforms, the review also proposes a new publication regime for multi-country documents. Staff sees the introduction of a publication regime for a new category of multi-country documents as the best way to ensure that the Fund publishes candid multilateral surveillance, while respecting members’ needs. Similarly, the modification rules for country documents will need to be adapted to take into account the implications of the Integrated Surveillance Decision (ISD).
Cape Verde
Cape Verde’s economic and policy performance remains strong. Growth is expected to recover gradually in the next few years. The global economic slowdown has affected the performance of the onshore banking sector. Risks to the outlook are broadly balanced. Executive Directors support the strategy of public investment in infrastructure to crowd in private sector development. The government will need to manage carefully its debt to maintain its low risk of debt distress. The ongoing efforts to strengthen the financial sector regulation and supervision are commended.
Burkina Faso
This 2011 Article IV Consultation and the Third Review Under the Extended Credit Facility for Burkina Faso highlights that the authorities have maintained fiscal consolidation efforts while mitigating the impact of exogenous shocks. Executive Directors have welcomed the authorities’ sustained implementation of sound policies and structural reforms, which has contributed to robust economic growth, low inflation, and a broadly favorable external position. Directors have encouraged the authorities to maintain fiscal discipline within the context of a medium-term fiscal framework while increasing investment and social spending.
Digital Interventions in the Health Sector
This note discusses, through selected country case studies, how digital health records and telemedicine can improve delivery quality, access to underserved populations, and resource utilization in healthcare. In addition, it shows how digital disease surveillance tools can identify outbreaks and track the spread of diseases, while novel digital platforms can facilitate patent licensing and international pooled procurements for better drug access in developing countries. Ensuring safe and well-regulated collection and use of healthcare data, as well as facilitating standardization and interoperability of digital infrastructure in different sectors is critical for the success of these interventions.
Burkina Faso
This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights a rebound in economic activity in Burkina Faso beginning in 2016, after two years of weak growth. The January terrorist attacks and delays in approving the budget weighed on activity in the early part of 2016, but activity has rebounded, and real GDP growth is now projected at 5.4 percent, an improvement over 4.0 percent in 2015. The recovery is led by two new gold mines that came onstream and a sharp projected rebound in agricultural output in late 2016 and early 2017, after three disappointing years. The recovery is expected to consolidate in 2017, and growth is projected to rise to 6.1 percent as domestic and external conditions remain supportive.
