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Collateral Damage
We document that, historically, although stronger growth in the U.S. increases growth in emerging markets, U.S. dollar appreciation (depreciation) cycles—which are highly persistent—mitigate (amplify) the impact on real GDP growth in emerging markets. We argue that the main transmission channel of the latter is through an income effect: as the dollar appreciates, commodity prices fall; weaker commodity prices depress domestic demand via lower real income; real GDP in emerging markets decelerates; and vice versa. These effects hold despite any potential expenditure-switching effect resulting from the relative (to the U.S. dollar) currency depreciation of emerging market economies. We also show the negative effect on emerging markets’ growth of U.S. interest rates beyond the effects of the U.S. real exchange rate and real GDP growth. Therefore, at the time of writing, emerging markets’ growth is expected to remain subdued reflecting, intera alia, the expected persistence of the strong dollar and the anticipated increased in the U.S. interest rates.
Official Bulletin
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Mystery Tribune / Issue No11
Our 240 page Issue No11, Fall 2019 edition of Mystery Tribune is a must-have featuring Brendan DuBois, SJ Rozan, William Soldan, and more. Issue No11: Fall 2019 features A curated collection of short fiction including stories by Brendan DuBois, SJ Rozan, Ewa Mazierska, Nick Kolakowski, Richie Narvaez, Todd Robinson, Chris McGinley, and William R. Soldan. Interviews and Reviews by Daniel Kraus, Scott Adlerberg, Tobias Carroll, Kristen Lepionka, and Charles Perry. Art and Photography by Jessica Almeida, Sergey Nehaev, and more. This issue also features a preview of the new graphic novel Rivers of London Volume 7: Action at a Distance by Ben Aaronovitch (Author), Andrew Cartmel (Author), and Br...
Official Gazette
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Maneater
In this hilarious romp through Hollywood, an award-winning screenwriter serves up a dose of delicious details that only an insider of the movie world could provide.
ShiNoKage
A young man who was born in feudal Japan, Koga-Ryu Province begins learning Ninjutsu and the art of the dragon. When a village raid by the Black Dragon who are Iga-Ryu Province, secretly disguised as Americans, happens, the young man's life becomes changed forever. As both his parents are taken from him. On that dreadful night, he moves to America after his training is finished to find the group who murdered his family. Only to discover an old enemy whose name had long been forgotten. Also thrown in the mix, he learns his Sensi and grandmaster is still alive but plotting to destroy the world by unleashing an ancient evil. Should he continue his personal vendetta to destroy every member of the Black Dragon? Or try and stop the very one that trained him from ending all life as we know it?
Official Bulletin
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Official Bulletin
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