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The Determinants of Cross-border Equity Flows
We apply a new approach to a new panel data set on bilateral gross cross-border equity flows between 14 countries, 1989-96. The model integrates elements of the finance literature on portfolio composition and the international macroeconomics and asset trade literature. Gross asset flows depend on market size in both source and destination country as well as trading costs, in which both information and the transaction technology play a role. Distance proxies some information costs, and other variables explicitly represent information transmission, an information asymmetry between domestic and foreign investors, and the efficiency of transactions. The remarkably good results have strong implications for theories of asset trade. We find that the geography of information is the main determinant of the pattern of international transactions, while there is little support in our data for diversification and return-chasing motives for transactions."--Authors.
The Emergence of the Euro as an International Currency
The European Union will enter Stage Three of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in 1999. The development of euro financial markets and thickness externalities in the use of the euro as a means of payment will be the major factors determining the importance of the euro as an international currency. As euro securities markets become deeper and more liquid and transactions costs fall, euro assets will become more attractive, and the use of the euro as a vehicle currency will expand; the two effects interact, as we demonstrate. We use a three-region world model as a framework for alternative steady-state scenarios. With forex and securities market data, we assess the plausibility of those scenarios and the implications for economic efficiency (welfare). We find that the euro may take on some of the current roles of the dollar. The welfare analysis reveals potential quantitatively significant benefits for the euro area, at the cost of the US and (to a lesser degree) Japan.
Globalisation
The Committee's report examines the future role of the International Monetary Fund, including issues of governance and finance, its surveillance and analysis functions, and the UK Government's report on its dealings with the IMF. Findings include: support for the idea of a focused Fund, with a greater role in crisis prevention than crisis resolution; the need for governance reforms to ensure that the IMF is more representative of its stakeholders and accountable to them, including a more open selection process for the next Managing Director and greater representation for low-income countries and emerging market economies via a reform of the quota allocations; and the need for a more transparent decision-making process, especially around the workings of the Executive Board, to ensure the Fund remains accountable to its stakeholders. The Committee supports the Exogenous Shocks Facility to provide assistance to countries suffering from crisis events such as natural disasters. In promoting IMF financial reforms, the UK Government should seek to ensure that the IMF maintains both its independence in surveillance and its ability to support low-income countries.
The End of Iceland's Innocence
A portrait of Iceland through the eyes of the international media before and after their total economic collapse. In the space of a few days, one of the world's richest and most egalitarian nations, Iceland, toppled into financial chaos and sunk into an economic, ethical, moral and identity crisis. The vast empire built by Iceland's young entrepreneurs, the "new Vikings"--who had propelled the country to the top of wealth, equality and happiness charts--collapsed under the combined effect of the failure of its banks and astronomical debt (more than ten times the country's gross domestic product). Iceland became, in the midst of the global economic crisis, an icon of disaster that troubles all Western countries seeking to understand how the Scandinavian model could collapse so suddenly. In this book, Daniel Chartier traces, through thousands of articles appearing in the foreign press, the fascinating reversal of Iceland's image during the crisis. Citizens of a country now humiliated, Icelanders must deal with a number of significant issues including the quest for wealth, sovereignty, ethics, responsibility, gender and the limits of neoliberalism. Published in English.
Public Debt Management
As Europe proceeds towards economic and monetary union, fiscal convergence and the prospect of a common money are at the centre of discussion. This volume from the Centre for Economic Policy Research brings together theoretical, applied and historical research on the management of public debt and its implications for financial stability.
Workers Versus Pensioners
Articles from a conference organised by the Centre for Economic Policy Research and held at St. Johns College, Cambridge in July 1988.
EMU and the International Monetary System
This book, edited by Paul R. Masson, Thomas Krueger, and Bart G. Turtelboom, contains the proceedings of the seminar held in Washington, D.C. on March 17-18, 1997, cosponsored by the IMF and Fondation Camille Gutt. Conference participants discussed implications of European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on exchange and financial markets, and consequently on the activities of market participants and private and official institutions. The five main themes of the seminar were the characteristics of the euro and its potential role as an international currency; EMU and international policy coordination; EMU and the relationship between the IMF and its EMU members; lessons of European monetary integration for the international monetary system; and the transitioin to EMU.
The run on the Rock
Incorporating HC 999 i-iv, session 2006-07
A European Central Bank?
The papers in this volume analyse the issues of having a single European currency.
