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Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma
Dynamic complexity results from hidden, unknown factors—or more precisely, interactions between factors—that can unexpectedly impact the performance of systems. When the influences of dynamic complexity are not measured and understood, new never-seen-before behaviors can come as unwelcomed surprises, which disrupt the performance of systems. Left alone, processes that were once prized for their efficiency unexpectedly begin to degrade—costs increase, while volumes and quality decline. Evidence of problems may come too late for effective resolution as technology advancements induce rapid change and compress the time available to react to that change. The results of dynamic complexity ar...
The Tyranny of Uncertainty
The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night—wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises—none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
Leading from Under the Sword of Damocles
Globalization trends and the rapid pace of technological innovations have introduced unprecedented change and uncertainty. For unprepared businesses, the drivers of the Fourth Industrial Revolution will become a constant source of surprise and crises will unfold at an ever-increasing rate. To thrive under these conditions, companies must adopt new risk management technologies and practices that enable business leaders to better anticipate and adjust to changing dynamics. This book helps readers understand how algorithm-based predictive and prescriptive analytics principles can be used to control risk in today’s dynamic business environment. It serves as a reference guide for business leade...
Government Impact on Sustainable and Responsible Supply Chain Management
A supply chain comprises different actors existing in different countries, including suppliers, producers, and customers. Clothes are supplied from Asia to all other regions; most coffee beans are supplied from South America; and cocoa is produced in Africa. Protecting the rights of people who produce goods in different countries is essential. In fact, according to this evolutionary law, companies need to identify, analyze, and prioritize the risks in their supply chains, and new policies must be established based on these results. New measures are taken to prevent or minimize violations of human rights and damage to the environment. Companies also need to set up grievance channels for peopl...
The Grey Swan Happening of our Universe
This book is neither fact nor fiction. It’s something in the middle. It’s about the universe and time and is a book for ordinary inquisitive people to read. Curious people who feel disconnected from much of the complex and jargon-heavy logic about the universe and time that comes from scientific or religious quarters. But the contents of this book might interest a broad segment of scientists causing them to raise their voices, hands and arms in agreement or most probably disagreement. Words like rubbish, stupid, and it’s a naïve falsification may be uttered. So be it. This book is readable for the uninformed because most of it is in plain text and pictures with some elementary mathematics sprinkled here and there. Various simple questions are posed as to why our universe exists and how it happened. That happening was what the book terms a grey swan moment. Time will not tell if that moment was even a moment because time is an earthly fabrication of our imagination and is not real. Read this book and gain a fresh perspective on what has, is and might happen.
THE ANALYSIS OF CYBER SECURITY THE EXTENDED CARTESIAN METHOD APPROACH WITH INNOVATIVE STUDY MODELS
Cyber security is the practice of protecting systems, networks, and programs from digital attacks. These cyber attacks are usually aimed at accessing, changing, or destroying sensitive information; extorting money from users; or interrupting normal business processes.Implementing effective cyber security measures is particularly challenging today because there are more devices than people, and attackers are becoming more innovative. This thesis addresses the individuation of the appropriate scientific tools in order to create a methodology and a set of models for establishing the suitable metrics and pertinent analytical capacity in the cyber dimension for social applications. The current state of the art of cyber security is exemplified by some specific characteristics.
Comprehending the Complexity of Countries
This book argues for computer-aided collaborative country research based on the science of complex and dynamic systems. It provides an in-depth discussion of systems and computer science, concluding that proper understanding of a country is only possible if a genuinely interdisciplinary and truly international approach is taken; one that is based on complexity science and supported by computer science. Country studies should be carefully designed and collaboratively carried out, and a new generation of country students should pay more attention to the fast growing potential of digitized and electronically connected libraries. In this frenzied age of globalization, foreign policy makers may – to the benefit of a better world – profit from the radically new country studies pleaded for in the book. Its author emphasizes that reductionism and holism are not antagonistic but complementary, arguing that parts are always parts of a whole and a whole has always parts.
Transactions of the International Astronomical Union
The XIXth General Assembly of the International Astronomical Union was held in New Delhi, India, from November 19 to 28, 1985. It was dedicated to the memory of a former IAU President, Professor M. K. V. Bappu, who tragically passed away on August 19, 1982. On the occasion of the Delhi General Assembly, the IAU Minor Planet Center announced that Minor Planet (asteroid) No. 2596 henceforth will carry the name Vainu Sappu. The full text of the announcement reads: "(2596) VAINU BAPPU = 1979 KN (diameter about 8 kilometers, period 5 years 4 months, mean distance from the Sun around 450 million kilometers) Discovered 1979, May 19, by R. M. West at the European Southern Observatory. Named in memory of Manali f
Transactions of the International Astronomical Union
The XXth General Assembly of the International Astronomical Union was held in Baltimore, Maryland USA from August 02 to 11, 1988. The Inaugural Ceremony on August 02 was held in the presence of representatives of the United States Governn:ent, t~e S~ate of Maryland, the City of Baltimore and the host institution -the Johns Hopkins Umverslty- as well as of the National and Local Organising Committees. The scientific programme maintained the high standards of the Union and the scientific proceedings may be found either in this volume or in volume 8 of Highlights of Astronomy. The scientific programme was organised by the 40 Commission Presidents and coordinated by the General Secretary (1985-1988), Dr. J.-P. Swings. The local arrangements were effectively made through the National Organising Committee under the Chairmanship of Prof. F. Drake and the Local Organising Committee under the co-Chairmanship of Prof. A. Oavidsen and Dr. R. Giacconi. The smooth day to day operation of the meeting resulted from the incomparable dedication of Karen Weinstock and Harold Screen.
