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Systemic Real and Financial Risks
This paper formulates a novel modeling framework that delivers: (a) forecasts of indicators of systemic real risk and systemic financial risk based on density forecasts of indicators of real activity and financial health; (b) stress-tests as measures of the dynamics of responses of systemic risk indicators to structural shocks identified by standard macroeconomic and banking theory. Using a large number of quarterly time series of the G-7 economies in 1980Q1-2010Q2, we show that the model exhibits significant out-of sample forecasting power for tail real and financial risk realizations, and that stress testing provides useful early warnings on the build-up of real and financial vulnerabilities.
The 1772–73 British Credit Crisis
Nowadays remembered mostly through Adam Smith’s references to the short-lived Ayr Bank in the Wealth of Nations, the 1772-3 financial crisis was an important historical episode in its own right, taking place during a pivotal period in the development of financial capitalism and coinciding with the start of the traditional industrialisation narrative. It was also one of the earliest purely financial crises occurring in peacetime, and its progress showed an impressive geographical reach, involving England, Scotland, the Netherlands and the North American colonies. This book uses a variety of previously unpublished archival sources to question the bubble narrative usually associated with this...
International Financial Stability
This new Geneva Report examines the main threats to international financial stability, focusing on the implications of major changes that have occurred in the global financial system in the past two decades.
The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking
The economic influence of central banks has received ever more attention given their centrality during the financial crises that led to the Great Recession, strains in the European Union, and the challenges to the Euro. The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Central Banking reflects the state of the art in the theory and practice and covers a wide range of topics that will provide insight to students, scholars, and practitioners. As an up to date reference of the current and potential challenges faced by central banks in the conduct of monetary policy and in the search for the maintenance of financial system stability, this Oxford Handbook covers a wide range of essential issues. The first ...
A Guide to IMF Stress Testing
The IMF has had extensive involvement in the stress testing of financial systems in its member countries. This book presents the methods and models that have been developed by IMF staff over the years and that can be applied to the gamut of financial systems. An added resource for readers is the companion CD-Rom, which makes available the toolkit with some of the models presented in the book (also located at elibrary.imf.org/page/stress-test-toolkit).
Nutritional Approaches in Chronic Liver Diseases
There is exponential growth of new cases of chronic liver disease worldwide. Even with the advances related to the treatment of viral hepatitis, this epidemiological scenario can be explained with a significant increase in obesity, alcoholism and physical inactivity. Nutrition plays a fundamental role as a promoting agent in the prevention of fatty liver diseases and hepatocellular carcinoma, as well as in the treatment of liver diseases related to metabolic alterations and as an adjuvant treatment in the most diverse complications characteristic of cirrhosis. The nutritional management of patients with chronic liver diseases, regardless of etiology, is still a challenge. There are numerous gaps to be understood in the context of body composition, biomarkers, and dietary strategies in the face of the pathophysiology of cirrhosis.
Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease - From Pathogenesis to Treatment
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
