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Space Strategy at a Crossroads
This monograph incorporates a series of essays on the opportunities and challenges for U.S. military space strategy in the 21st century. Each chapter takes a different approach to exploring the possibilities for U.S. space strategy. The issues considered here include the military space requirements for broader competition, the unique value space provides for militaries, the human capital required to build space strategy, the comparative advantages of U.S. allies in space, the role of space strategy for our competitors, and how to think about integrating space into broader defense strategy. We have found many signs of progress in identifying new strategic challenges in space and developing ne...
Small Wars, Big Data
How a new understanding of warfare can help the military fight today's conflicts more effectively. The way wars are fought has changed starkly over the past sixty years. International military campaigns used to play out between large armies at central fronts. Today's conflicts find major powers facing rebel insurgencies that deploy elusive methods, from improvised explosives to terrorist attacks. Small Wars, Big Data presents a transformative understanding of these contemporary confrontations and how they should be fought. The authors show that a revolution in the study of conflict--enabled by vast data, rich qualitative evidence, and modern methods--yields new insights into terrorism, civil...
Escalation Dynamics in Cyberspace
To what extent do cyberspace operations increase the risks of escalation between nation-state rivals? Scholars and practitioners have been concerned about cyber escalation for decades, but the question remains hotly debated. The issue is increasingly important for international politics as more states develop and employ offensive cyber capabilities, and as the international system is increasingly characterized by emergent multipolarity. In Escalation Dynamics in Cyberspace, Erica D. Lonergan and Shawn W. Lonergan tackle this question head-on, presenting a comprehensive theory that explains the conditions under which cyber operations may lead to escalation. In doing so, they challenge long-he...
Foundations of the Islamic State
Drawing from 140 recently declassified documents, this report presents a comprehensive account of the organization, territorial designs, management, personnel policies, and finances of the Islamic State of Iraq and its predecessor, al-Qa ida in Iraq."
Security in Mexico
The backdrop of a deteriorating security situation in Mexico and change in administration in the United States demands a closer examination of potential priorities and policy options to guide future U.S.-Mexico relations. To help inform debate, this study examined a set of policy options for the United States (strategic partnership, status quo, and retrenchment), along with potential policy priorities that hold promise for Mexico's security.
Rolling Back the Islamic State
This report assesses the threat the Islamic State poses to the United States and examines strategies to counter the group.
Elements of Deterrence
Global politics in the twenty-first century is complicated by dense economic interdependence, rapid technological innovation, and fierce security competition. How should governments formulate grand strategy in this complex environment? Many strategists look to deterrence as the answer, but how much can we expect of deterrence? Classical deterrence theory developed in response to the nuclear threats of the Cold War, but strategists since have applied it to a variety of threats in the land, sea, air, space, and cyber domains. If war is the continuation of politics by other means, then the diversity of technologies in modern war suggests a diversity of political effects. Some military forces or...
An Economic Analysis of the Financial Records of al-Qa'ida in Iraq
This monograph analyzes the finances of the militant group al-Qa'ida in Iraq in Anbar province during 2005 and 2006, at the peak of the group's power and influence. The authors draw on captured financial documents that give details on the daily financial transactions of one specific sector within Anbar province and of the financial transactions of the AQI provincial administration.
Counterterrorism and Threat Finance Analysis during Wartime
This edited volume describes various analytic methods used by intelligence analysts supporting military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan as members of the Iraq and Afghan Threat Finance Cells—interagency intelligence teams tasked to disrupt terrorist and insurgent funding. All contributors have deployed to Iraq and/or Afghanistan and detail both the bureaucratic and intellectual challenges in understanding terrorist and insurgent finance networks and then designing operations to attack such networks via conventional military operations, Special Forces kill/capture targeting operations, and non-kinetic operations such as asset freezing or diplomacy. The analytic methods described here lev...
