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Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets
What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.
Métodos Predictivos para Fútbol y Mercados de Apuestas
¿Qué variables son relevantes para predecir los resultados futuros de un equipo de fútbol? ¿Existen ineficiencias en los mercados de apuestas que puedan ser explotadas? ¿Cuántos partidos son necesarios para medir correctamente el nivel de un equipo o de un futbolista? ¿Es mejor apostar a favor de un equipo cuando está en una buena racha o cuando está en una mala racha? ¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que un equipo descienda al final de la temporada? ¿Cuál es el tamaño y la composición óptima de la plantilla de un equipo? ¿En qué se diferencian los mejores y los peores clubes? ¿Cuáles son las mejores casas de apuestas? En este libro el lector encontrará la respuesta a estas y a muchas otras preguntas sobre el deporte rey, gracias al uso de técnicas de minería de datos aplicadas a una base histórica de más de 200.000 partidos de fútbol y a un enfoque estadístico explicado para el gran público. Segunda edición del libro "Métodos Predictivos para Fútbol y Mercados de Apuestas". Contiene una versión actualizada de todos los capítulos de la primera edición y un tercio de contenido totalmente nuevo.
Métodos Predictivos para Fútbol y Mercados de Apuestas
¿Qué variables son relevantes para predecir los resultados futuros de un equipo de fútbol? ¿Existen ineficiencias en los mercados de apuestas que puedan ser explotadas? ¿Cuál es la probabilidad de que un equipo descienda al final de la temporada? ¿Es mejor apostar a favor de un equipo que está en una buena racha o es mejor apostar a favor de un equipo que está en una mala racha? ¿Cuántos partidos son necesarios para medir correctamente el nivel de un equipo? ¿Es más interesante apostar a favor de los equipos favoritos o a favor de las "cenicientas"? ¿Cuáles son las mejores casas de apuestas? En este libro el lector encontrará la respuesta a estas y a muchas otras preguntas sobre el deporte rey, gracias al uso de técnicas de minería de datos aplicadas a una base histórica de más de 100.000 partidos de fútbol y a un enfoque estadístico explicado para el gran público.
Predictive Methods for Football and Betting Markets
What variables are relevant to predict the future results of a football team? Are there any inefficiencies in the betting markets that can be exploited? How many games are necessary to correctly measure the level of a team or a footballer? Is it better to bet on a team that is on a winning streak or is it better to bet on a team that is on a losing streak? What is the probability that a team that has just been promoted will be relegated in the next few seasons? What is the optimal size and composition of a team squad? How are the best and worst clubs different? What are the best bookmakers? In this book the reader will find the answer to these and many other questions about the beautiful game, thanks to data mining techniques applied to a historical database of more than 200,000 football matches and a statistical approach explained in an easily accesible style.
Biodiversity and Environmental Philosophy
This book explores the epistemological and ethical issues at the foundations of environmental philosophy, emphasising the conservation of biodiversity. Sahota Sarkar criticises attempts to attribute intrinsic value to nature and defends an anthropocentric position on biodiversity conservation based on an untraditional concept of transformative value. Unlike other studies in the field of environmental philosophy, this book is as much concerned with epistemological issues as with environmental ethics. It covers a broad range of topics, including problems of explanation and prediction in traditional ecology and how individual-based models and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) technology is transforming ecology. Introducing a brief history of conservation biology, Sarkar analyses the consensus framework for conservation planning through adaptive management. He concludes with a discussion of directions for theoretical research in conservation biology and environmental philosophy.
Representative Government
Classic from the year 2008 in the subject Philosophy - Philosophy of the 19th Century, - entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Those who have done me the honour of reading my previous writings will probably receive no strong impression of novelty from the present volume; for the principles are those to which I have been working up during the greater part of my life, and most of the practical suggestions have been anticipated by others or by myself. There is novelty, however, in the fact of bringing them together, and exhibiting them in their connection; and also, I believe, in much that is brought forward in their support. Several of the opinions at all events, if not new...
The Study of Politics
If the study of politics is to be rewarding both intellectually and practically it must. by definition. concern itself with the great issues which arise in the real world and with the fundamental arguments which occur about their nature and the possible solutions to them. Abstract political philosophy which is not informed by the experi ence of practice will become sterile. A study of constitutions and the machinery of government can become dry-as-dust and hence boring unless the underlying principles are analysed and grasped. But theo ries of political change divorced from an understanding of consti tutions and institutions will degenerate into mere phrase-mongering. Attempts to apply the t...
