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Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 41

Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach

This paper provides evidence of a strong relationship between the short-term dynamics of growth and inequality in developing economies. We find that reductions in inequality during growth upswings are largely reversed during growth slowdowns. Using a new methodology (mediation analysis), we identify unemployment, and youth unemployment especially, as the main channel through which fluctuations in growth affect future dynamics in inequality. These findings suggest that both the quality of jobs created and labor market policies are important to ensure that growth outcomes are conducive to inequality reduction.

Sharing Resource Wealth Inclusively Within and Across Generations
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 38

Sharing Resource Wealth Inclusively Within and Across Generations

This paper discusses the main challenges faced by resource-rich nations in promoting equity; describes policy tools available for managing exhaustible natural resources; and analyzes the relationship between resource wealth and state fragility. It is argued that human capital accumulation, innovation, and technology diffusion can help escape the trap of low growth and resource dependence that plagues so many developing countries. But to make this possible, resource-rich nations must sustain strong citizen participation in the policy making to hold governments accountable and ensure the inclusive management of resource wealth.

Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa Fragile States: Evidence from Panel Estimations
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 31

Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa Fragile States: Evidence from Panel Estimations

Fragile states in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) face challenges to respond to the effects of climate shocks and rising temperatures. Fragility is linked to structural weaknesses, government failure, and lack of institutional basic functions. Against this setup, climate change could add to risks. A panel fixed effects model (1980 to 2019) found that the effect of a 1◦C rise in temperature decreases income per capita growth in fragile states in SSA by 1.8 percentage points. Panel quantile regression models that account for unobserved individual heterogeneity and distributional heterogeneity, corroborate that the effects of higher temperature on income per capita growth are negative while the impact of income per capita growth on carbon emissions growth is heterogeneous, indicating that higher income per capita growth could help reduce carbon emissions growth for high-emitter countries. These findings tend to support the hypothesis behind the Environmental Kuznets Curve and the energy consumption growth literature, which postulates that as income increases, emissions increase pari passu until a threshold level of income where emissions start to decline.

How to Achieve Inclusive Growth
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 901

How to Achieve Inclusive Growth

This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licence. It is free to read at Oxford Scholarship Online and offered as a free PDF download from OUP and selected open access locations. Rising inequality and widespread poverty, social unrest and polarization, gender and ethnic disparities, declining social mobility, economic fragility, unbalanced growth due to technology and globalization, and existential danger from climate change are urgent global concerns of our day. These issues are intertwined. They therefore require a holistic framework to examine their interplay and bring the various strands together. Leading academic economists have partnered ...

Pandemics and Automation: Will the Lost Jobs Come Back?
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 26

Pandemics and Automation: Will the Lost Jobs Come Back?

COVID-19 has exacerbated concerns about the rise of the robots and other automation technologies. This paper analyzes empirically the impact of past major pandemics on robot adoption and inequality. First, we find that pandemic events accelerate robot adoption, especially when the health impact is severe and is associated with a significant economic downturn. Second, while robots may raise productivity, they could also increase inequality by displacing low-skilled workers. We find that following a pandemic, the increase in inequality over the medium term is larger for economies with higher robot density and where new robot adoption has increased more. Our results suggest that the concerns about the rise of the robots amid the COVID-19 pandemic seem justified.

Policy Advice to Asia in the COVID-19 Era
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 105

Policy Advice to Asia in the COVID-19 Era

The Asia-Pacific region was the first to be hit by the COVID-19 pandemic; it put a strain on its people and economies, and policymaking became exceptionally difficult. This departmental paper contains the assessment of the key challenges facing Asia at this critical juncture and policy advice to the region both to address the current challenges and to build the foundations for a more sustainable and inclusive future. The paper focuses on (1) adjusting to the COVID-19 shock, (2) using unconventional policies when policy space is limited, (3) dealing with debt, and (4) helping the vulnerable and greening the recovery. The paper first presents the different ways countries are adjusting to the COVID-19 shock.

Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC)
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 40

Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC)

This Selected Issues paper focuses on the need of improving liquidity management and the operational framework of monetary policy in Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC). Disconnected policy and lending rates reflect the ineffective interest rate channel of monetary policy transmission while the shallow domestic banking system and the underdeveloped financial markets induce weaknesses of both the credit and asset price channels. In the absence of an efficient interest rate channel, liquidity plays an important role in the conduct of monetary policy. The CEMAC economy is vulnerable to external shocks and its banking system potentially exposed to liquidity shocks. Successful...

Essays in Public Economics
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 118

Essays in Public Economics

  • Type: Book
  • -
  • Published: 2013
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  • Publisher: Unknown

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The Great Lockdown: International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 29

The Great Lockdown: International Risk Sharing Through Trade and Policy Coordination

Voluntary and government-mandated lockdowns in response to COVID-19 have caused causing drastic reductions in economic activity around the world. We present a parsimonious two-country-SIR model with some degree of substitutability between home and foreign goods, and show that trading partners’ asynchronous entries into the global pandemic induce mutual welfare gains from trade. Those gains are realized through exchange rate adjustments that cause a temporary reallocation of production towards the economy with the lowest infection rate at any point in time. We show that international cooperation over containment policies that aim at optimizing global welfare further enhances the ability of countries to exploit trade opportunities to contain the spread of the pandemic. We characterize the Nash game of strategic choices of containment policies as a prisoners’ dilemma.

Financial Frictions and Firm Informality: A General Equilibrium Perspective
  • Language: en
  • Pages: 33

Financial Frictions and Firm Informality: A General Equilibrium Perspective

In this paper we build a model of occupational choice with informal production and progressive income taxation. We calibrate the model to the Brazilian economy to evaluate the impact of removing financial frictions on informality. We find that financial deepening leads to a drop in the size of the informal sector (from 37 percent to 22 percent of official GDP), to an increase in measured TFP (by 4 percent), to an increase in official GDP (by 27 percent), to a decrease in tax evasion (by 17 percent) and to an increase in fiscal revenues (by 15 percent). When assessing the response of this policy at different levels of financial development, we find a non-linear relationship between the credit-to-GDP ratio on the one hand, and either the size of the informal economy, or GDP per capita on the other hand. We test these features with cross-country data and find evidence in favor of both types of non-linearity. We also investigate changes in the income tax progressitivity as an alternative policy and find it to be more effective in countries with a medium to high level of financial markets development.