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Delinquency Careers in Two Birth Cohorts
Delinquency in a Birth Cohort, published in 1972, was the first criminologi cal birth cohort study in the United States. Nils Christie, in Unge norske lovorertredere, had done the first such study as his dissertation at the University of Oslo in 1960. Professor Thorsten Sellin was the inspiration for the U.S. study. He could read Norwegian, and I could a little because I studied at the University of Oslo in my graduate years. Our interest in pursuing a birth cohort study in the United States was fostered by the encouragement of Saleem Shah who awarded us a grant from the National Institute of Mental Health to begin our birth cohort studies at the University of Pennsylvania by investigating the delinquency of the 1945 cohort. We studied this group of 9,945 boys extensively through official criminal history and school records of their juvenile years. Subsequently, we followed up the cohort as adults using both adult arrest histories and an interview of a sample of the cohort. Our follow-up study was published as From Boy to Man, From Delinquen cy to Crime in 1987.
Delinquency in a Birth Cohort
"Delinquency in a Birth Cohort is a turning point in criminological research in the United States," writes Norval Morris in his foreword. "What has been completely lacking until this book is an analysis of delinquency in a substantial cohort of youths, the cohort being defined other than by their contact with any part of the criminal justice system." This study of a birth cohort was not originally meant to be etiological or predictive. Yet the data bearing on this cohort of nearly ten thousand boys born in 1945 and living in Philadelphia gave rise to a model for prediction of delinquency, and thus to the possibility for more efficient planning of programs for intervention. It is expert resea...
From Boy to Man, from Delinquency to Crime
This is a follow-up study to "Delinquency in a birth cohort", the 1972 study which traced the development from birth to age 18 of male delinquents in the Philadelphia birth cohort of 1945. This study follows a sample from the original cohort up to age 30 and extends the analytic strategies of the previous work. More than 60 per cent of the subjects were interviewed at age 25. Their attitudes, values, experiences as crime victims, self-reported involvement in crime, and other facets of their lives are used to round out the picture developed from official sources. Among their findings, the authors show that : there is little offense specialization, even during adult years; that the seriousness of offenses increases with age, but that the actual number of crimes committed decreases. In other aspects -- such as the intervals between arrests and differences between white and non-white arrest patterns -- the adult data sometimes replicate juvenile results and sometimes offer new insights into offender patterns.
