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A Manager's Guide to Technology Forecasting and Strategy Analysis Methods
Technology forecasting is one of the most formidable challenges facing many organizations. In A Manager's Guide..., Stephen Millet and Edward Honton provide a guide for corporate and technology managers, planners, and analysts looking for a foundation on which to base technological forecasts and decision making. The authors assess 20 forecasting methods, evaluate their advantages and disadvantages, and suggest applications and uses. This book provides a profile of the technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods available today to guide input to the corporate decision-making process. Trend Analyses: Trend Extrapolation, Time Series Estimation, Regression Analysis, Econometrics, Systems Dynamics, S-Curves, Historical Analogies, Input-Output Matrices, Patent Trend Analysis, Scientific Literature Analysis, New Trend Analyses Techniques. Expert Judgment: Interviews, Questionnaires, Group Dynamics Multi-Option Analyses: Scenarios, Simulations, Paths and Trees, Portfolio Analysis Conclusions: Forecasts, Recommendations for Managers
Future Scenarios
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Managing the Future
Equipping your organization for an uncertain future is a daunting task. If you're already over-stretched dealing with the pressures of today - it can seem like an impossible one. But building future planning into your everyday practices is not only vital - it's eminently doable. And who better to show us how than Stephen Millett - historian, futurist and management consultant for three decades? Managing the Future offers a straightforward and pragmatic approach to strategic planning. It takes an honest look at the limitations of forecasting, and shows (through real-life examples and a wealth of experience) how managers can best use a variety of futuring methods, including scenarios, horizon ...
Program Manager
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Foundations of Futures Studies
Futures studies is a new field of inquiry involving systematic and explicit thinking about alternative futures. It aims to demystify the future, make possibilities for the future more known to us, and increase human control over the future. This book summarizes and expands contributions of futurists to the envisioning power and well-being of humanity. Bell brings together futurist intellectual tools, describing and explaining not only the methods, but also the nature, concepts, theories, and exemplars of the field.Foundations of Futures Studies fulfills Bell's five main purposes for writing this two-volume effort: (1) to show that futures studies, like other fields from anthropology to zoolo...
Foundations of Futures Studies, Volume 1
Futures studies is a new field of inquiry involving systematic and explicit thinking about alternative futures. It aims to demystify the future, make possibilities for the future more known to us, and increase human control over the future. Author Wendell Bell brings together futurist intellectual tools, describing and explaining not only the methods, but also the nature, concepts, theories, and exemplars of the field. Now available in paperback with a new preface from the author, Foundations of Future Studies is the fundamental work on the subject. Bell illustrates how this sphere of intellectual activity offers hope for the future of humanity and concrete ways of realizing that hope in the real world of everyday life. His book will appeal to all interested in futures studies, sociology, economics, political science, and history.
Product Planning Essentials
Concise yet comprehensive, Product Planning Essentials, Second Edition, addresses the complex, interdisciplinary nature of product development and product management. It covers strategic issues that emerge during the product life cycle, including identifying opportunities, idea generation and evaluation, technical development, commercialization, and eventual product dismissal. Instructors, students, and practitioners will appreciate the balanced managerial and how-to orientation. Changes to the Second Edition * Addition of two chapters on design and legal considerations. * Expanded discussion of global considerations to introduce sustainable product development and Base of the Pyramid (BoP) product development. * Simplified technical discussions of planning techniques for improved comprehension. * Inclusion of product planning best practices from recent noteworthy cases and studies in the final chapter.
