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Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk
For many years, stock market analysts have argued that value strategies outperform the market. These value strategies call for buying stocks that have low prices relative to earnings, dividends, book assets, or other measures of fundamental value. While there is some agreement that value strategies produce higher returns, the interpretation of why they do so is more controversial. This paper provides evidence that value strategies yield higher returns because these strategies exploit the mistakes of the typical investor and not because these strategies are fundamentally riskier.
Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices?
Includes bibliographical references (p. 24)
The Incredible January Effect
The Incredible January Effect digs into one of the mysteries of the stock market--that for decades, certain kinds of securities have been producing unaccountably high returns during the first month of the year. Enlightening and highly useful.
Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk
For many years, scholars and investment professionals have argued that value strategies outperform the market. These value strategies call for buying stocks that have low prices relative to earnings, dividends, book assets, or other measures of fundamental value. While there is some agreement that value strategies produce higher retruns, the interpretation of why they do so is more controversial. This paper provides evidence that value strategies yield higher returns because these strategies exploit the suboptimal behavior of the typical investor and not because these strategies are fundamentally riskier.
Momentum Strategies
We relate the predictability of future returns from past returns to the market's underreaction to information, focusing on past earnings news. Past return and past earnings surprise each predict large drifts in future returns after controlling for the other. There is little evidence of subsequent reversals in the returns of stocks with high price and earnings momentum. Market risk, size and book-to- market effects do not explain the drifts. Security analysts' earnings forecasts also respond sluggishly to past news, especially in the case of stocks with the worst past performance. The results suggest a market that responds only gradually to new information.
The Psychology of Investing
Dieses maßgebende Buch aus der Schmiede der Harvard-Universität stützt sich auf Erkenntnisse und Ideen führender Experten aus den Bereichen Investment und Psychologie. Die Beiträge stammen u.a. von Abby Joseph Cohen, stellvertretender Vorstandsvorsitzender bei Goldman-Sachs, Samuel Hayes von der Harvard Business School und von Mark Hubert, Kolumnist beim Forbes Magazine. Diskutiert werden u.a. die psychologische Aspekte von Risiko, Massenpsychologie und geschlechtsbedingten Unterschieden im Investmentgeschäft. Mit einem Vorwort von John Train, dem Autor zahlreicher Bestseller zur Geldanlage. (11/97)
Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence on Herding and Feedback Trading
This paper uses a new data set of quarterly portfolio holdings of 769 all-equity pension funds between 1985 and 1989 to evaluate the potential effect of their trading on stock prices. We address two aspects of trading by money managers: herding, which refers to buying (selling) the same stocks as other managers buy (sell) at the same time; and positive-feedback trading, which refers to buying winners and selling losers. These two aspects of trading are commonly a part of the argument that institutions destabilize stock prices. At the level of individual stocks at quarterly frequencies, we find no evidence of substantial herding or positive-feedback trading by pension fund managers, except in small stocks. Also, there is no strong cross-sectional correlation between changes in pension funds' holdings of a stock and its abnormal return.
Fundamentals of Investments
This introduction provides a clear framework for understanding and analyzing securities, and covers the major institutional features and theories of investing. While the book presents a thorough discussion of investments, the authors keep the material practical, relevant, and easy to understand. The latest developments in investments are brought to life through the use of tables, graphs, and illustrations that incorporate current market information and academic research. An international content deals directly with international securities and securities markets throughout the book--along with currency management and interest rate parity. Up-to-date "Money Matters" articles reflect the latest real-world developments and are provided throughout each chapter to give readers a sense of how practitioners deal with various investment issues and use techniques. Other coverage includes an array of investment tools--presented through discussions on stocks, bonds, and other securities such as options and futures. A guide to reviewing, forecasting, and monitoring--for individuals preparing to make investments or take the CFA exam.
