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The Grey Swan Happening of our Universe
This book is neither fact nor fiction. It’s something in the middle. It’s about the universe and time and is a book for ordinary inquisitive people to read. Curious people who feel disconnected from much of the complex and jargon-heavy logic about the universe and time that comes from scientific or religious quarters. But the contents of this book might interest a broad segment of scientists causing them to raise their voices, hands and arms in agreement or most probably disagreement. Words like rubbish, stupid, and it’s a naïve falsification may be uttered. So be it. This book is readable for the uninformed because most of it is in plain text and pictures with some elementary mathematics sprinkled here and there. Various simple questions are posed as to why our universe exists and how it happened. That happening was what the book terms a grey swan moment. Time will not tell if that moment was even a moment because time is an earthly fabrication of our imagination and is not real. Read this book and gain a fresh perspective on what has, is and might happen.
Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma
Dynamic complexity results from hidden, unknown factors—or more precisely, interactions between factors—that can unexpectedly impact the performance of systems. When the influences of dynamic complexity are not measured and understood, new never-seen-before behaviors can come as unwelcomed surprises, which disrupt the performance of systems. Left alone, processes that were once prized for their efficiency unexpectedly begin to degrade—costs increase, while volumes and quality decline. Evidence of problems may come too late for effective resolution as technology advancements induce rapid change and compress the time available to react to that change. The results of dynamic complexity ar...
The Tyranny of Uncertainty
The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night—wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises—none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.
Leading from Under the Sword of Damocles
Globalization trends and the rapid pace of technological innovations have introduced unprecedented change and uncertainty. For unprepared businesses, the drivers of the Fourth Industrial Revolution will become a constant source of surprise and crises will unfold at an ever-increasing rate. To thrive under these conditions, companies must adopt new risk management technologies and practices that enable business leaders to better anticipate and adjust to changing dynamics. This book helps readers understand how algorithm-based predictive and prescriptive analytics principles can be used to control risk in today’s dynamic business environment. It serves as a reference guide for business leade...
Ecosystems Architecture
Today, modern business is adrift in a sea of connectivity and potential. Where once an organization’s IT needs could be met from within its four walls, we now see many mission-critical systems reaching out beyond an enterprise’s traditional boundaries. This is pushing solutions design well beyond the comfort zone of Enterprise Architecture and out into a world of hyper-enterprise systems. This is a world of complexity and scale, where the changing status quo demands that organizations keep up or die. To survive, their IT systems must also evolve as the context of their environment(s) ebbs and flows. The result is a dynamic, interconnected web of critical business advantage, balanced agai...
Comprehending the Complexity of Countries
This book argues for computer-aided collaborative country research based on the science of complex and dynamic systems. It provides an in-depth discussion of systems and computer science, concluding that proper understanding of a country is only possible if a genuinely interdisciplinary and truly international approach is taken; one that is based on complexity science and supported by computer science. Country studies should be carefully designed and collaboratively carried out, and a new generation of country students should pay more attention to the fast growing potential of digitized and electronically connected libraries. In this frenzied age of globalization, foreign policy makers may – to the benefit of a better world – profit from the radically new country studies pleaded for in the book. Its author emphasizes that reductionism and holism are not antagonistic but complementary, arguing that parts are always parts of a whole and a whole has always parts.
Mercer Plays: 2
The first volume of stage and TV plays by one of the best British TV writers Flint premiered just before the 1970 General Election which was to replace the Labour Government of Harold Wilson. It is driven by the figure of Ossian Flint, a seventy-year old swinging vicar who believes in "crossing lines not drawing them" and espouses the romanticised Communism of Lenin and Guevara; In the BBC play The Bankrupt, Ellis Cripper, a woman aged fifty has become bankrupt through operating at "the dishonourable end of the system...capitalism"; An Afternoon at the Festival centres around a version of middle-aged man Leo Brent who is an extreme egoist and a failure in his personal relationships; Duck Son...
