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Macroeconomía argentina
Braun y Llach presentan de modo simple, consistente y realista las nociones básicas de la macroeconomía y las aplican de manera aguda y original a las peculiaridades del caso argentino. Pensado y escrito desde la perspectiva de nuestra economía, este libro es no sólo un manual completo sobre los conceptos fundamentales de la macroeconomía, sino también una caja de herramientas accesible y eficaz para entender los debates actuales sobre la realidad argentina. ¿Por qué algunos países son ricos y otros pobres? ¿Qué factores determinan el crecimiento económico? ¿Cómo inciden las políticas públicas en los niveles de producción, empleo y precios? ¿Cuáles son las causas de la inestabilidad argentina? ¿Qué papel juega la globalización en una economía como la nuestra? ¿De qué dependen los movimientos de los precios o del tipo de cambio? ¿De qué hablamos cuando hablamos de inflación o déficit fiscal?
Latin American Development Priorities
Many countries in Latin America and the Caribbean have achieved considerable economic growth, yet the region still faces many seemingly intractable problems. The conventional wisdom in development agencies - that prioritization is impossible and that everything must be done - is simply not effective. Latin American Development Priorities shows how limited resources could be used for the greatest benefit of the Latin American and Caribbean region. A panel of economists met over three days in San José to review proposals to tackle the ten most important challenges, which emerged from a survey by the Inter-American Development Bank. The expert panel was asked a question which appears simple but is actually very difficult to answer: What should Latin American governments do with an additional nominal $10 billion? Hard choices are needed if Latin America's problems are to be tackled effectively. This book provides the means to make those choices as objectively as possible.
Global food crises: Monitoring and assessing impact to inform policy responses
Strong upward trends and increased variability in global food prices over the past two years have led to concern that hunger and poverty will increase across the world.
Inflation, Inflation Variability, and Corruption
We present a model where agents can inflate the cost of goods needed to start an investment project and inflation variability increases monitoring costs. We show that inflation variability can lead to higher corruption and lower investment. We document a positive relationship between corruption and inflation variability in a sample of 75 countries. The effect is robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, other controls, and 2SLS estimation. The results are economically significant: a one standard deviation increase in inflation variance from the median increases corruption by 12 percent of a standard deviation and reduces growth by 0.33 percentage points. Our paper highlights a new channel through which inflation reduces investment and growth, thus bridging the perception gap over the costs of inflation between economists and the public. We also find evidence that political competition reduces corruption and that corruption is pro-cyclical.
Inflation and Corruption
We present a simple agency model where agents can inflate the price that owners pay for goods needed to start an investment project. High and variable inflation is assumed to increase the cost of monitoring the agent. We then show how this can lead to higher corruption and lower investment in equilibrium. We also document a positive relationship between corruption and inflation variability in a sample of 75 countries over 14 years. The effect is robust to the inclusion of country fixed effects, 2SLS estimation and variables that are used to proxy for other theoretically plausible influences on corruption. The panel estimates we derive are economically significant: a one standard deviation increase in inflation variance from the median can lead to an increase in corruption of 12-percent of a standard deviation and a decline in growth rates of 0.33 percentage points. Our paper highlights a new channel through which inflation reduces investment and growth, and can help understand the discrepancies over the costs of inflation between economists and the general public. We also find evidence that political competition reduces corruption and that corruption is pro-cyclical.
What's Left in Latin America?
This book concerns recent and current political developments in Latin America related to the emergence of left-leaning regimes riding the waves of anti-neoliberalism and a primary commodities boom. Based on five years of field research and a critical engagement with social movements in the region, the book documents the short-term advances and strategic weaknesses of these left-leaning regimes, highlighting their failure to take advantage of favourable economic and political conditions. The authors profile four cases of recent and current political developments, and the prospects for socialism, in Argentina, Bolivia, Cuba and Venezuela.
