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The Effect of House Prices on Bank Risk
Housing market is important from a macroprudential perspective because it has a strong effect on the banking sector. Changes in real estate prices may affect the level of bank risk through household mortgage lending, however, the literature has no clear conclusion on this impact mechanism. Using a bank-level database containing quarterly data from 1998 to 2016 we estimated dynamic fixed-effects panel models to examine how bank risk is influenced by housing prices via mortgage lending in the Hungarian banking system. According to the results (1) higher house prices lead to higher bank risk, (2) the higher the share of mortgage loans at a bank, the stronger the positive effect of house prices ...
A High Resolution Agent-based Model of the Hungarian Housing Market
This paper presents a complex, modular, 1:1 scale model of the Hungarian residential housing market. All the 4 million house- holds and their relevant characteristics are represented based on empirical micro-level data coming from the Central Credit Information System, the Pension Payment database and transaction data of property sales collected by the National Tax and Customs Administration and the largest real estate agencies. The model features transactions in the housing and rental mar- kets, a construction sector, buy-to-let investors, housing loans, house price dynamics and a procyclical banking sector regulated by a macroprudential authority. The flats in the model are characterized w...
Hungarian Monetary Policy Operations Before, During, and After the Pandemic
Within its inflation-targeting framework, the Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) has frequently adjusted its monetary operations. This has raised questions about their internal consistency, appropriateness, and effectiveness. A broader assessment, implying a comparison to a counterfactual, is outside the scope of this paper. Our prior is agnostic. We find that the changes were generally well-motivated within the MNB statutory powers; prioritized, transparently explained, and monitored; and promptly adjusted, when they no longer served their purpose. Occasionally, some tools have worked at cross purposes. Government policies have at times hampered monetary policy. Simplicity comes with a premium, as complexity can blur signals.
Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction
Bankruptcy prediction is one of the most important research areas in corporate finance. Bankruptcies are an indispensable element of the functioning of the market economy, and at the same time generate significant losses for stakeholders. Hence, this book was established to collect the results of research on the latest trends in predicting the bankruptcy of enterprises. It suggests models developed for different countries using both traditional and more advanced methods. Problems connected with predicting bankruptcy during periods of prosperity and recession, the selection of appropriate explanatory variables, as well as the dynamization of models are presented. The reliability of financial data and the validity of the audit are also referenced. Thus, I hope that this book will inspire you to undertake new research in the field of forecasting the risk of bankruptcy.
Making Sense of Chaos
‘Doyne Farmer is the world's leading thinker on technological change. For decades he has focused on the question of how we can make sense of the data of today to see where the world is going tomorrow. This wonderful book applies these insights to economics, addressing the big global issues of environmental sustainability, and the well-being and prosperity of people around the world’ Max Roser, Founder of Our World in Data We live in an age of increasing complexity, where accelerating technology and global interconnection hold more promise – and more peril – than any other time in human history. As well as financial crises, issues around climate change, automation, growing inequality ...
Person, Case, and Agreement
This book provides both language-specific and cross-linguistic comparative analyses of phenomena relating to person, case and case-marking, and agreement. The book combines data from eight different language families with theory and explicit analyses, and will be of interest to both formal and data-oriented linguists and typologists alike.
The Fashion Industry and Eating Disorders
The world of fashion models is attractive for everybody. For the average audience, a fashion modelâ (TM)s life is glamourous, elegant and enviable, and many young women aspire to follow such ideals. Today, in the age of modern information technologies, there are endless tools for communicating with the world related to fashion. The daily lives of fashion models can be followed by the masses on social media platforms; they have become influencers, and millions follow the image they represent. However, in the background, there is stress and tension. The fashion industry creates fierce competition, and the models are under intense pressure concerning their body shape. Slimness is a fundamental requirement. This, in turn, leads to an increased risk of eating disorders: fashion models are more prone to develop anorexia or bulimia like symptoms. The book investigates the role of the representatives of the fashion industry in the excessive ideal of slimness and in the enhanced risk of developing eating disorders. Ensuring the health of the models must be a fundamental aspect of the industry.
Magyar Örökség Washingtonban - Hungarian Heritage: Roots to Revival
Magyarország 2013 nyarán az Egyesült Államok legnagyobb szabású szabadtéri rendezvényének, a Washington szívében évente megrendezett Smithsonian Folklife Festival-nak a vendége volt 10 napon keresztül. In the summer of 2013, Hungary was the guest of honor for 10 days at one of the largest outdoor events in the United States, the annual Smithsonian Folklife Festival. A Hungarian Heritage – Roots to Revival (Magyar Örökség – A gyökerektől az újjászületésig) címet viselőprogram Magyarország népművészeti hagyományait mutatta be a zene, a tánc, a kézművesség, az öltözködés, a gasztronómia terén. Kétszer öt napig, június 26-30. és július 3-7. közö...
"Wie die Verwundeten ‒ derer du nicht mehr gedenkst"
Mit der vorliegenden Studie wird erstmals für die Psalmenexegese eine Monographie unter der Perspektive der interdisziplinären Traumaforschung vorgelegt. Die Arbeit erschließt, wie sich traumatische Ereignisse auf die narrativ-ästhetische Darstellungsform der Psalmen niedergeschlagen haben. Mit Hilfe klassisch-philologischer, literaturwissenschaftlicher und psychologischer Ansätze wird an den einzelnen Psalmen eine Phänomenologie des literarischen Umgangs mit traumatischen Erfahrungen aufgezeigt. Die Traumaforschung dient dabei in zweifacher Hinsicht der Erschließung der Texte: zum einen für ihren antiken Entstehungshintergrund, der kollektive wie individuelle Gewalterfahrungen verarbeitet und zum anderen für die Analyse der rezeptionsästhetischen Aneignungsprozesse der Texte. Die Arbeit liefert wichtige Einsichten für die zentralen Themen der Psalmenforschung: Hermeneutik der Gewalt, Umgang mit Leid, das Gottesbild, die Rolle der Klage, die Anthropologie. Darüber hinaus gibt sie auch Impulse für den aktuellen gesellschaftlichen Diskurs der kollektiven Erinnerung und für das Ausloten von narrativ-poetischen Strategien der Traumabewältigung.
