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Comment on "Gone with the Wind: The Consequences of US Drone Strikes in Pakistan"
Mahmood and Jetter (2023) rely on daily wind conditions as an exogenous source of variation to assess the effects of 420 US drone strikes conducted in Pakistan from 2006 to 2016. The findings indicate that these drone strikes promote a subsequent surge in terrorism over the following days and weeks, contributing significantly to as much as 19% of all terrorist incidents and resulting in over 3,000 casualties in Pakistan during the specified period. In this comment, we successfully reproduce all the results from Mahmood and Jetter (2023), including tables and figures. We then conduct four sensitivity analyses to confirm the primary findings outlined in the original paper. We document the robustness of the main results in three out of four sensitivity checks, involving the omission of all controls across various specifications, utilization of the fixest package in R, and the inclusion of control variables determined through Lasso regressions. However, we show that the addition of year fixed effects substantially reduces the first-stage F-statistics and challenges the established negative relationship between wind gusts and drone strikes.
Regressive Movements in Times of Emergency
Since the very beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, with mass media and social media playing a key role, anti-vax protests have received sustained attention. The first comments often pointed at the heterogeneity of the events, whose participants seemed to belong to different milieus, from the far right to exoteric groups that opposed mainstream medicine, suggesting alternative ones. In reality, in their forms and claims, these protests developed as a regressive response to the health crisis. Conspiracist beliefs--from the politicized QAnon and Great Replacement conspiracies widespread on the far right to the Chemic Trails and 5G ones present in an exoteric milieu that promoted alternative hea...
A Pandemic of Populists
Explores the rise of populism in power, focusing on its causes, characteristics, impact on democracy, and how to fight back.
Stay-at-home Orders, Social Distancing and Trust
Better understanding whether and how communities respond to government decisions is crucial for policy makers and health offcials in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we document the socioeconomic determinants of COVID-19 stay-at-home orders' compliance in the U.S. Using cell phone data measuring changes in average distance traveled and non- essential visitation, we find that: stay-at-home orders reduce mobility by about 8{10 percentage points; high-trust counties decrease their mobility significantly more than low-trust counties post-lockdown; and counties with relatively more self-declared democrats decrease significantly more their mobility. We also provide evidence that the estimated effect on compliance post-lockdown is especially large for trust in the press, and relatively smaller for trust in science, medicine or government.
A Comment on Assortative Matching at the Top of the Distribution
Goni (2022) relies on a novel data on peerage marriages in Britain to examine the impact of matching technology on marital sorting. He relies on the London Season interruption (1861-1863) as a natural experiment that raised search costs and reduced market segregation. In his preferred specification, he exploits exogenous variation in women's probability to marry during the interruption for their age in 1861 and finds that the interruption increased the probability of marrying a commoner; reduced the probability of marrying an heir, increased the difference in spouses' family landholdings (in absolute value); decreased the difference in spouses' family landholdings (husband - wife); and increased the likelihood of never getting married (See Table 2, columns 1 to 6, respectively). First, we reproduce the paper's main findings and find no coding errors. Second, we test the robustness of the results to (1) the use of additional fixed effects and (2) sample restrictions. Finally, we examine the heterogeneous effects of this interruption by age and year. We find that original estimates are robust and are not significantly affected using these alternative specifications.
Comment on "Historical Lynchings and the Contemporary Voting Behavior of Blacks"
Williams (2022) ties the political participation of Blacks to historical lynchings that occurred in the United States. Her findings document lower Black voter registration rates in southern counties with greater number of historical lynchings. We show that this effect is driven by four outlier counties with relatively high Black lynching rates. Excluding these counties and correcting the errors in voter registration rates rule out the effect size reported by Williams (2022), which now becomes close to zero and statistically insignificant. We also show that the main results are highly sensitive to the way lynching and voter registration rates are measured.
Essays in Applied Microeconomics
This dissertation includes three essays in applied microeconomics. The first two chapters focus on gender and female labor force participation. The third chapter examines the strategic behavior in politics. The first chapter examines the impact of male casualties due to World War II on fertility and female employment in the United States. We rely on the number of casualties at the county-level and use a differences-in-differences strategy. While most counties in the U.S. experienced a Baby Boom following the war, we find that the increase in fertility was lower in high casualty rate counties than in low casualty rate counties. Analyzing the channels through which male casualties could have d...
Handbook of the Economics of the Family
Handbook of the Economics of the Family, Volume One includes comprehensive surveys of the current state of the economics literaure in the field, prepared by leading scholars, with a particular empahsis on the most recent developments in each area. Chapters cover Culture and the family; Mating markets; Household decisions and intra-household distributions; The economics of fertility: a new era; Families, labor markets, and policy; Family background, neighborhoods, and intergenerational mobility; The great transition: Kuznets facts for family-economists; An institutional perspective on the economics of the family. - An economics approach to changing family arrangements - Understanding of inequality and intergenerational mobility - Evolution of gender roles within families and across societies
Environmental Politics in the Middle East
Offers a critical and realistic reassessment of the threats posed to the environment in the Middle East, and what can be done about them.
